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Joseph Carlson: TXRH will rise

Said on Mar 13, 2024, at 4:05 in the video.

What was said
Joseph Carlson

@josephcarlsonshow

“I think Texas Roadhouse can continue to grow in double digits”
Watch at 4:05TikTok Is Being Banned, Here’s What Happens Next
PredictionTXRHwill riseChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years
What happenedafter 1 year
Correct

Entry price (first close after the video)

$152.93

Mar 14, 2024

Price at close

$167.78

Mar 13, 2025

Total return, dividends included

+10.9%

S&P 500 +8.5%

TXRH closed at $152.93 on Mar 14, 2024. On Mar 13, 2025 it closed at $167.78, a total return of +10.9% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +8.5%. The call was that it would rise.

30 days

Incorrect

90 days

Correct

180 days

Correct

1 year

Correct

Details and evidenceReport a problem

The window it was checked over

TXRHWindow checked
$50$100$150$200$250Sep 2023Jan 2024May 2024Sep 2024Jan 2025May 2025Said on Mar 13, 2024
$50$100$150$200$250Sep 2023Apr 2024Oct 2024May 2025Said on Mar 13, 2024

TXRH closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$152.93Mar 14, 2024$148.63Apr 12, 2024−2.8%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 −0.5%
90 daysR-DIR v4Correct$152.93Mar 14, 2024$169.54Jun 11, 2024+10.9%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 +4.6%
180 daysR-DIR v4Correct$152.93Mar 14, 2024$161.26Sep 9, 2024+6.2%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 +6.8%
1 yearR-DIR v4Correct$152.93Mar 14, 2024$167.78Mar 13, 2025+10.9%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 +8.5%
3 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Mar 12, 2027——
5 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Mar 12, 2029——
Why: 30 days

TXRH closed at $152.93 on Mar 14, 2024. On Apr 12, 2024 it closed at $148.63, a total return of −2.8% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was −0.5%. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 90 days

TXRH closed at $152.93 on Mar 14, 2024. On Jun 11, 2024 it closed at $169.54, a total return of +10.9% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +4.6%. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 180 days

TXRH closed at $152.93 on Mar 14, 2024. On Sep 9, 2024 it closed at $161.26, a total return of +6.2% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +6.8%. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 1 year

TXRH closed at $152.93 on Mar 14, 2024. On Mar 13, 2025 it closed at $167.78, a total return of +10.9% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +8.5%. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 3 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Mar 12, 2027.

Why: 5 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Mar 12, 2029.

What was said around it

arguably has amongst the strongest Outlook in this metric they are correct there out of the companies that I look at and their ability to grow same store sales consistently Texas Roadhouse is the very top it's not one of it is the top restaurant unless you go into the category of Quick Service restaurants where which are a bit different Texas Roadhouse is by far the strongest they say furthermore the combination of continued unit growth 5% annually and healthy comps should report annual revenue increasing above 10% Plus in the upcoming years I agree with this as well I think Texas Roadhouse can continue to grow in double digits they say that a potential problem with this price Target could be an elongated beef inflation cycle that could limit earnings growth and Beyond if you talk to Texas Roadhouse or you listen to their earnings call they mention that they don't price Things based on beef inflation because they view that almost always cyclical beef prices go up and they go down they never stay One Direction for too long so Texas Roadhouse being up a couple thousand today has kept my portfolio in the green for the day now let's go ahead and move on to Tik Tok being band it looks like this

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

See all

Joseph CarlsonTXRHwill rise

“I believe Texas Roadhouse will continue to carve itself out as one of the top restaurants that people frequent”

Sep 19, 2024 · after 1 year

Incorrect−5.4%

Joseph CarlsonTXRH— a company event

“their execution and outperformance makes me believe that it's only a matter of time until they're introduced into the indexes”

May 3, 2024 · after 1 year

Not verifiable

Joseph CarlsonTXRHwill outperform

“but not only is the starting valuation cheaper for Texas Roadhouse but I also believe it will outgrow the s p 500. I think the free cash flows will grow quicker so that is a way of trying to outperform the S P 500 finding companies that have starting yields as high around the same as the S P 500 but which can grow their future cash flows at a faster rate than the s p 500.”

Jan 13, 2023 · after 1 year

Not verifiable

Joseph CarlsonTXRHwill rise

“I think that Texas Roadhouse is in particular set up to do really well next year I think the Texas Roadhouse is still a sleeper stock that will outperform expectations”

Dec 22, 2022 · after 1 year

Correct+28.3%

Joseph CarlsonTXRHwill rise

“I continue to believe this company is undervalued I think it still has some more room to grow as of right now I'm continuing to hold”

Oct 28, 2022 · after 1 year

Correct+1.0%

Joseph CarlsonTXRHwill rise to $120.00

“i think it's undervalued right now texas roadhouse trades at 87 dollars a share and i think the company's worth around 120.”

Jul 29, 2022 · after 1 year

Partly correct+26.7%