Joseph Carlson: TXRH will rise

Said on Sep 19, 2024, at 17:47 in the video.

What was said
Joseph Carlson

@josephcarlsonshow

“I believe Texas Roadhouse will continue to carve itself out as one of the top restaurants that people frequent”
Watch at 17:47I Just Broke A New Record
PredictionTXRHwill riseChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years
What happenedafter 1 year
Incorrect

Entry price (first close after the video)

$169.71

Sep 20, 2024

Price at close

$158.24

Sep 19, 2025

Total return, dividends included

−5.4%

S&P 500 +18.2%

TXRH closed at $169.71 on Sep 20, 2024. On Sep 19, 2025 it closed at $158.24, a total return of −5.4% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +18.2%. The call was that it would rise.

30 days

Correct

90 days

Correct

180 days

Incorrect

1 year

Incorrect

The window it was checked over

TXRHWindow checked
$140$160$180$200$220Mar 2024Jul 2024Nov 2024Mar 2025Jul 2025Nov 2025Said on Sep 19, 2024
$140$160$180$200$220Mar 2024Oct 2024May 2025Nov 2025Said on Sep 19, 2024

TXRH closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-DIR v4Correct$169.71Sep 20, 2024$183.89Oct 18, 2024+8.4%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 +2.9%
90 daysR-DIR v4Correct$169.71Sep 20, 2024$178.95Dec 18, 2024+5.8%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 +3.2%
180 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$169.71Sep 20, 2024$167.09Mar 18, 2025−0.8%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 −0.9%
1 yearR-DIR v4Incorrect$169.71Sep 20, 2024$158.24Sep 19, 2025−5.4%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 +18.2%
3 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Sep 17, 2027——
5 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Sep 18, 2029——
Why: 30 days

TXRH closed at $169.71 on Sep 20, 2024. On Oct 18, 2024 it closed at $183.89, a total return of +8.4% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +2.9%. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 90 days

TXRH closed at $169.71 on Sep 20, 2024. On Dec 18, 2024 it closed at $178.95, a total return of +5.8% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +3.2%. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 180 days

TXRH closed at $169.71 on Sep 20, 2024. On Mar 18, 2025 it closed at $167.09, a total return of −0.8% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was −0.9%. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 1 year

TXRH closed at $169.71 on Sep 20, 2024. On Sep 19, 2025 it closed at $158.24, a total return of −5.4% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +18.2%. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 3 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Sep 17, 2027.

Why: 5 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Sep 18, 2029.

What was said around it

of spaghetti and typically if you compare the dinner prices from one restaurant to another you're also not paying much if not any more at Texas Roadhouse so in the minds of consumers I still believe the Texas Roadhouse maintains the best value proposition amongst casual restaurants but either way when I'm looking at these companies and the bounceback and restaurants between Chili's and Darden I consider that a good thing I think it benefits Texas Roadhouse it shows that customers right now are willing to go out and purchase experiences and I believe Texas Roadhouse will continue to carve itself out as one of the top restaurants that people frequent now finally as tradition typically on weekends we look at people that are entrepreneurs that are investors that have somehow managed to make great returns doing something we're going to look at how this individual became Rich so basically I built a business using Airbnb and other people's properties to make money and then I got a job at deot as an investment banker Del is a world famous Investment Banking Company and I used my extra time cuz I built like a 4our 4H hour workweek business to get a job 40 50 60 hours a week I don't hear of many

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

See all