“it looks like 25 bit cut um the meeting the next fed meeting is towards the end of September so most likely to get 25 basis point cut then”Coin Bureau: Fed policy rate will fall
Said on Aug 26, 2024, at 7:30 in the video.
The window it was checked over
Federal funds target range, upper limit: Federal Reserve Board via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.
Result at every window
All windows are shown, so none is pickedNot scored under the published method.
What was said around it
they reached you know that they were in a good place I think he was just feeling the bit of the you know a bit of drink drink beforeand with all his other Central Bankers enjoying and relaxing oh guys now I can finally just release and say what I really think you know you done some white water ra that morning felt a bit chilled out it's time guys it's time I've put the charade up for long enough now you guys know we we've managed to land the plane on the soft Landing so you know yeah um okay so so labor market concerns aside it looks like 25 bit cut um the meeting the next fed meeting is towards the end of September so most likely to get 25 basis point cut then 50 B 50 basis points probably not and I would say that crypto's kind of priced that in I mean that that would have been one of the reasons why crypto sort of Pumped over the weekend I think it was I think it was for sure I mean it's all obviously like we said they'll be data dependent there are data points coming out if it is a 50 bip cut well that will be even more bullish for us right you know goes faster and faster okay uh let's move on then let's talk about uh let's talk politics politics oh my God lovely we have to guys
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More on Fed policy rate
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“the market is now pricing in more than a 60% chance that on September 16th, the Federal Reserve raises interest rates by 25 basis points in addition to buying”
Sep 3, 2026
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“they're now expecting interest rates to increase a little bit in 2026 before falling back down again in 2027 and once again in 2028.”
Jun 17, 2026
Andrei JikhFed policy rate— no direction stated
“I think we already know what he's going to do, which is nothing.”
Jun 15, 2026 · after 1 year
Graham StephanFed policy ratewill fall
“Instead, it's quietly going to happen through pressure on the Federal Reserve and lower interest rates to the point where inflation exceeds it, eroding the purchasing power on everyone's money.”
Jun 1, 2026 · after 90 days
Andrei Jikh, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“The stock market thinks that there's going to be a rate increase by January 2027. the odds of a rate increase are above 70% and going up.”
May 26, 2026
Andrei Jikh, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“Because right now, the market is predicting a rate increase by January 2027. In fact, we are over 70% odds that interest rates will go up, which is the opposite of what everyone thought would happen.”
May 26, 2026