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Joseph Carlson: TXRH will rise

Said on Mar 17, 2022, at 3:25 in the video.

What was said
Joseph Carlson

@josephcarlsonshow

“texas roadhouse is one of the casual dining restaurants that i think will have a lot of opportunity the rest of this year to increase their operating income and their fundamentals which i think will drive up the stock price”
Watch at 3:25The Amazing Business Strategy Of AMC
PredictionTXRHwill riseby Dec 31, 2022
What happenedafter 1 year
Correct

Entry price (first close after the video)

$82.35

Mar 17, 2022

Price at close

$105.32

Mar 17, 2023

Total return, dividends included

+30.6%

S&P 500 −9.8%

TXRH closed at $82.35 on Mar 17, 2022. On Mar 17, 2023 it closed at $105.32, a total return of +30.6% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was −9.8%. The call was that it would rise.

30 days

Incorrect

90 days

Incorrect

180 days

Correct

1 year

Correct

Details and evidenceReport a problem

The window it was checked over

TXRHWindow checked
$60$70$80$90$100$110$120Sep 2021Jan 2022May 2022Sep 2022Jan 2023May 2023Said on Mar 17, 2022
$60$80$100$120Sep 2021Apr 2022Oct 2022May 2023Said on Mar 17, 2022

TXRH closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$82.35Mar 17, 2022$81.84Apr 14, 2022−0.6%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 −0.4%
90 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$82.35Mar 17, 2022$73.36Jun 15, 2022−10.4%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 −13.8%
180 daysR-DIR v4Correct$82.35Mar 17, 2022$88.49Sep 13, 2022+8.6%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 −10.2%
1 yearR-DIR v4Correct$82.35Mar 17, 2022$105.32Mar 17, 2023+30.6%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 −9.8%
3 yearsR-DIR v4Correct$82.35Mar 17, 2022$172.49Mar 14, 2025+120.3%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 +33.3%
5 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Mar 16, 2027——
Stated deadlineR-DIR v4Correct$82.35Mar 17, 2022$90.95Dec 30, 2022+12.2%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 −11.9%
Why: 30 days

TXRH closed at $82.35 on Mar 17, 2022. On Apr 14, 2022 it closed at $81.84, a total return of −0.6% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was −0.4%. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 90 days

TXRH closed at $82.35 on Mar 17, 2022. On Jun 15, 2022 it closed at $73.36, a total return of −10.4% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was −13.8%. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 180 days

TXRH closed at $82.35 on Mar 17, 2022. On Sep 13, 2022 it closed at $88.49, a total return of +8.6% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was −10.2%. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 1 year

TXRH closed at $82.35 on Mar 17, 2022. On Mar 17, 2023 it closed at $105.32, a total return of +30.6% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was −9.8%. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 3 years

TXRH closed at $82.35 on Mar 17, 2022. On Mar 14, 2025 it closed at $172.49, a total return of +120.3% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +33.3%. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 5 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Mar 16, 2027.

Why: Stated deadline

TXRH closed at $82.35 on Mar 17, 2022. On Dec 30, 2022 it closed at $90.95, a total return of +12.2% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was −11.9%. The call was that it would rise.

What was said around it

stayed there for the past six months so it really hasn't sold off quite as much as the rest of the market and this is one that i remain long-term bullish on but i realize it's going to be a slow moving company it is after all a real estate company in the restaurant category we have some other newer holdings starbucks is one that i've been recently buying into very bullish on this company but we're going to be talking later in this episode about some of the challenges they're facing and texas roadhouse is one of the casual dining restaurants that i think will have a lot of opportunity the rest of this year to increase their operating income and their fundamentals which i think will drive up the stock price and then the last category in my portfolio is the banking sector we have jpmorgan chase which i recently purchased more of as i think financials will do pretty well over the next five years unless we go into a 2008 like recession financial companies actually make more money when interest rates go up they actually have a better spread between what they can charge consumers and the interest that they make and that makes them more profitable so that's a basic summary of the portfolio but

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

See all

Joseph CarlsonTXRHwill rise

“I believe Texas Roadhouse will continue to carve itself out as one of the top restaurants that people frequent”

Sep 19, 2024 · after 1 year

Incorrect−5.4%

Joseph CarlsonTXRH— a company event

“their execution and outperformance makes me believe that it's only a matter of time until they're introduced into the indexes”

May 3, 2024 · after 1 year

Not verifiable

Joseph CarlsonTXRHwill rise

“I think Texas Roadhouse can continue to grow in double digits”

Mar 13, 2024 · after 1 year

Correct+10.9%

Joseph CarlsonTXRHwill outperform

“but not only is the starting valuation cheaper for Texas Roadhouse but I also believe it will outgrow the s p 500. I think the free cash flows will grow quicker so that is a way of trying to outperform the S P 500 finding companies that have starting yields as high around the same as the S P 500 but which can grow their future cash flows at a faster rate than the s p 500.”

Jan 13, 2023 · after 1 year

Not verifiable

Joseph CarlsonTXRHwill rise

“I think that Texas Roadhouse is in particular set up to do really well next year I think the Texas Roadhouse is still a sleeper stock that will outperform expectations”

Dec 22, 2022 · after 1 year

Correct+28.3%

Joseph CarlsonTXRHwill rise

“I continue to believe this company is undervalued I think it still has some more room to grow as of right now I'm continuing to hold”

Oct 28, 2022 · after 1 year

Correct+1.0%