“the FED has continued to raise interest rates and is currently expected to raise them by another 0.25 or 25 basis points at its next meeting which is again scheduled for the 1st of February”Coin Bureau, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
Said on Jan 11, 2023, at 3:13 in the video.
The window it was checked over
Federal funds target range, upper limit: Federal Reserve Board via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.
Result at every window
All windows are shown, so none is pickedSomebody else's forecast — not scored
What was said around it
Target while the FED also has a mandate to ensure that unemployment remains at around four percent Jerome has repeatedly stated that bringing down inflation is the only way to truly do this in other words the only way to bring down inflation is to increase unemployment for more Americans to lose their jobs so that wage growth slows in Practical terms this means creating a recession which the markets are well not so eagerly anticipating so far a recession has yet to materialize or so they say as such the FED has continued to raise interest rates and is currently expected to raise them by another 0.25 or 25 basis points at its next meeting which is again scheduled for the 1st of February this will bring the fed's short-term interest rate up to between 4.5 and 4.75 now this figure is significant because most fed officials have agreed on a terminal rate of 5 or more for anyone wondering the terminal rate is how high interest rates will go during the current tightening cycle as this five percent Target approaches markets will be extremely volatile as expectations run rampant and this brings me to the minutes of the fed's December meeting for context the FED decides how much it will raise
What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.
More on Fed policy rate
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“the market is now pricing in more than a 60% chance that on September 16th, the Federal Reserve raises interest rates by 25 basis points in addition to buying”
Sep 3, 2026
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“they're now expecting interest rates to increase a little bit in 2026 before falling back down again in 2027 and once again in 2028.”
Jun 17, 2026
Andrei JikhFed policy rate— no direction stated
“I think we already know what he's going to do, which is nothing.”
Jun 15, 2026 · after 1 year
Graham StephanFed policy ratewill fall
“Instead, it's quietly going to happen through pressure on the Federal Reserve and lower interest rates to the point where inflation exceeds it, eroding the purchasing power on everyone's money.”
Jun 1, 2026 · after 90 days
Andrei Jikh, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“The stock market thinks that there's going to be a rate increase by January 2027. the odds of a rate increase are above 70% and going up.”
May 26, 2026
Andrei Jikh, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“Because right now, the market is predicting a rate increase by January 2027. In fact, we are over 70% odds that interest rates will go up, which is the opposite of what everyone thought would happen.”
May 26, 2026