Graham Stephan, relaying another source: House prices — around 10.3%

Said on Mar 4, 2022, at 6:06 in the video.

What was said
Graham Stephan

@grahamstephan

“the recent property analysis suggested that U.S home prices would rise another 10.3 percent this year's underlying demand is still extremely strong”
Watch at 6:06Why The Stock Market Will Keep Falling
PredictionHouse prices— around 10.3%by Dec 31, 2022
What happened
Relayed

Somebody else's forecast — not scored

The window it was checked over

This series is not charted here until its publisher's terms for reusing it are confirmed. Each verdict still cites the figures it was judged on.

S&P Cotality Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index: S&P Dow Jones Indices via FRED

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked

Somebody else's forecast — not scored

What was said around it

competitive after all if you wanted a safe investment would you rather loan the government money for 10 years or buy someone's mortgage who used their home as collateral in this case international attention is actually causing more investors to put their money in a 10-year treasury as a safe store of value causing the yield to go down and forcing mortgage rates down alongside with it that of course gives would be home buyers another opportunity to lock in a low interest rate before they go back up and they're taking it as a result the recent property analysis suggested that U.S home prices would rise another 10.3 percent this year's underlying demand is still extremely strong however don't go spending all of your money on real estate quite yet because the head of Hunter housing economics warns that the recent pace of home price increases clearly unsustainable even though he believes that housing prices could still rise another eight percent this year followed by another four percent in 2023 anticipates that home prices will rise in tandem with wages so if wages are up nine percent then housing in theory could also go up that same amount although before we go into the impact on those Rising prices

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

See all

Graham StephanHouse priceswill rise

“And that means that home prices in those markets continue going higher.”

Aug 10, 2026 · after 1 year

Pending

Graham Stephana call with no clear direction

“Instead the market is just quietly resetting to a much higher and much more expensive new normal and everyone who's waiting it out to see 2019 prices again is unfortunately probably out of luck”

Jul 22, 2026

Not scored

Graham Stephan, relaying Reuters poll of analysts: House prices — not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

“But, a Reuters poll of analysts expects prices to fall another 4% this year before maybe stabilizing in 2027.”

Jul 15, 2026

Relayed

Graham StephanHouse prices— not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

“the Northeast and Midwest are still hitting record highs, including Hartford, Connecticut, which is up 25% from its 2022 peak. Well, the pandemic boom towns across Texas, Florida, and the Mountain West keep falling.”

Jul 15, 2026 · after 1 year

Not verifiable

Graham Stephan, relaying Reuters poll of analysts: House prices — not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

“a Reuters poll of analysts expects prices to fall another 4% this year before maybe stabilizing in 2027.”

Jul 15, 2026

Relayed

Graham Stephan, relaying Reuters poll of analysts: House prices — not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

“But, a Reuters poll of analysts expects prices to fall another 4% this year before maybe stabilizing in 2027.”

Jul 15, 2026

Relayed