Coin Bureau, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise

Said on Apr 9, 2026, at 3:02 in the video.

The window it was checked over

Fed policy rateWindow checkedRecession (NBER)
3.5%4%4.5%5%5.5%6%202320242024202520262027Said on Apr 9, 2026
3.5%4%4.5%5%5.5%6%2023202420252027Said on Apr 9, 2026

Federal funds target range, upper limit: Federal Reserve Board via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked

Somebody else's forecast — not scored

What was said around it

settle at just   2.7% over the exact same time frame. That 150  basis point gap between two major financial   authorities is not some minor statistical rounding  error, but the difference between an uncomfortable   economic landing and a genuine stagflation  crisis that destroys the purchasing power of   everyday users. If the OECD's projections prove  accurate, well, the Federal Reserve is sitting   dangerously behind the curve and will be forced  into emergency policy reversals and the broader   market is already pricing in this exact scenario.  With futures contracts currently showing a 52%   probability of a rate hike by the end of the year,  the underlying economic data reveals exactly why   the Fed is trapped in a genuine dual mandate  nightmare. Recent employment reports showed   a devastating loss of 92,000 jobs in February  alone, marking the fourth monthly decline in 9   months. Simultaneously, the University of Michigan  consumer sentiment index plunged by 14% following   the outbreak of war in the Middle East. When  you combine rising energydriven inflation with a   rapidly weakening labor market, you have the exact  textbook conditions for a stagflation crisis. And   speaking

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