What was said
“the FED expects housing and rental costs to collapse later next year”Watch at 9:12Pivot or Pain?! Here's What The Fed Will Do in 2023!!
Coin Bureau, relaying another source: House prices will fall
Said on Dec 22, 2022, at 9:12 in the video.
The window it was checked over
This series is not charted here until its publisher's terms for reusing it are confirmed. Each verdict still cites the figures it was judged on.
S&P Cotality Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index: S&P Dow Jones Indices via FRED
Result at every window
All windows are shown, so none is pickedSomebody else's forecast — not scored
What was said around it
FED wants markets to crash would be a bad look so instead Jerome said that the FED wants Financial conditions to reflect Rising rates and said that the FED is not focused on short-term price but quote persistent long-term moves to the downside the second question came from a reporter at the New York Times and they asked Jerome Point Blank whether the FED will raise by 50 or 25 basis points during its next meeting Jerome gave a lengthy response and the tldr is that speed is no longer important how long higher rates remain however is I'll also quickly note that the FED expects housing and rental costs to collapse later next year fingers crossed for those who have been squeezed now the third question came from a reporter at Reuters they rightfully pointed out that the figures in the FED summary of economic projections are effectively forecasting a recession and asked Jerome why fed officials used very soft language to describe what is guaranteed to be a very bad time Jerome responded by saying that GDP growth will still be positive so it's totally fine he also seemed to claim that the labor market will be fine too because employers are having a hard time finding employees from what I've
What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.
More on House prices
Graham StephanHouse priceswill rise
“And that means that home prices in those markets continue going higher.”
Aug 10, 2026 · after 1 year
Pending
Graham Stephana call with no clear direction
“Instead the market is just quietly resetting to a much higher and much more expensive new normal and everyone who's waiting it out to see 2019 prices again is unfortunately probably out of luck”
Jul 22, 2026
Not scored
Graham Stephan, relaying Reuters poll of analysts: House prices — not judged: the rule reads only US national figures
“But, a Reuters poll of analysts expects prices to fall another 4% this year before maybe stabilizing in 2027.”
Jul 15, 2026
Relayed
Graham StephanHouse prices— not judged: the rule reads only US national figures
“the Northeast and Midwest are still hitting record highs, including Hartford, Connecticut, which is up 25% from its 2022 peak. Well, the pandemic boom towns across Texas, Florida, and the Mountain West keep falling.”
Jul 15, 2026 · after 1 year
Not verifiable
Graham Stephan, relaying Reuters poll of analysts: House prices — not judged: the rule reads only US national figures
“a Reuters poll of analysts expects prices to fall another 4% this year before maybe stabilizing in 2027.”
Jul 15, 2026
Relayed
Graham Stephan, relaying Reuters poll of analysts: House prices — not judged: the rule reads only US national figures
“But, a Reuters poll of analysts expects prices to fall another 4% this year before maybe stabilizing in 2027.”
Jul 15, 2026
Relayed