Coin Bureau, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will fall

Said on Apr 20, 2025, at 7:04 in the video.

What was said
Coin Bureau

@coinbureau

“the Fed's most recent interest  rate forecast notes that it will be lowering   interest rates below 4% by the end of the year”
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PredictionFed policy ratewill fallby Dec 31, 2025
What happened
Relayed

Somebody else's forecast — not scored

The window it was checked over

Fed policy rateWindow checkedRecession (NBER)
0%1%2%3%4%5%6%202220232024202420252026Said on Apr 20, 2025
0%2%4%6%2022202320252026Said on Apr 20, 2025

Federal funds target range, upper limit: Federal Reserve Board via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked

Somebody else's forecast — not scored

What was said around it

now the fact   that the Fed announced that it would stabilize the  bond market in the event of volatility effectively   confirmed that it will do QE if necessary and  something similar could happen sooner the Fed's   next policy decision will be announced on May 7th  and though investors aren't expecting any rate   cuts the Fed's recent concerns around bond market  volatility could result in them stopping doing QT   completely which would be supportive of liquidity  conditions around the margins it's also important   to remember that the Fed's most recent interest  rate forecast notes that it will be lowering   interest rates below 4% by the end of the year and  if inflation comes in lower than expected and the   economy continues to weaken in the coming months  the Fed could cut rates even sooner which would   likewise be supportive of liquidity conditions  around the margins and this ties into the third   macro catalyst to watch and that's stimulus coming  from other central banks as some of you may have   heard the Chinese government is reportedly  considering pulling forward its stimulus plans   to try and offset the effects of Trump's tariffs  obviously this would increase liquidity

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