Coin Bureau, relaying another source: House prices — not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

Said on Aug 23, 2022, at 10:20 in the video.

What was said
Coin Bureau

@coinbureau

“s p estimates that this year china could see a 30 fall in this area”
Watch at 10:20China's Economic CRASH: Why It's Coming & What It Means
PredictionHouse prices— not judged: the rule reads only US national figuresby Dec 31, 2022
What happened
Relayed

Somebody else's forecast — not scored

The window it was checked over

This series is not charted here until its publisher's terms for reusing it are confirmed. Each verdict still cites the figures it was judged on.

S&P Cotality Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index: S&P Dow Jones Indices via FRED

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked

Somebody else's forecast — not scored

What was said around it

in china appear to have been taking a wait and see approach so with no new suckers to feed the property ponzi scheme the developers have grown desperate in some cases they're giving away cars and live pigs in order to sweeten the deal when signing for a new apartment don't have all the money to make the deposit no problem they're also accepting deposits in garlic and wheat and i wish i was joking it turns out that people would rather eat food than pay for an imaginary apartment who knew now the result of this mess has been a cataclysmic fall in property sales s p estimates that this year china could see a 30 fall in this area it's worth pointing out that during the 2008 crash property sales fell by 20 so there are no more people feeding the property ponzi scheme and that means that these developers won't have enough money to complete the promised developments and this is only likely to get worse that's because according to a bank of america report approximately nine percent of the housing floor space that was pre-sold in 2020 and 2021 risks not being completed on schedule because of developers financial troubles affecting roughly 2.4 million households these people will not be happy

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

See all

Graham StephanHouse priceswill rise

“And that means that home prices in those markets continue going higher.”

Aug 10, 2026 · after 1 year

Pending

Graham Stephana call with no clear direction

“Instead the market is just quietly resetting to a much higher and much more expensive new normal and everyone who's waiting it out to see 2019 prices again is unfortunately probably out of luck”

Jul 22, 2026

Not scored

Graham Stephan, relaying Reuters poll of analysts: House prices — not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

“But, a Reuters poll of analysts expects prices to fall another 4% this year before maybe stabilizing in 2027.”

Jul 15, 2026

Relayed

Graham StephanHouse prices— not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

“the Northeast and Midwest are still hitting record highs, including Hartford, Connecticut, which is up 25% from its 2022 peak. Well, the pandemic boom towns across Texas, Florida, and the Mountain West keep falling.”

Jul 15, 2026 · after 1 year

Not verifiable

Graham Stephan, relaying Reuters poll of analysts: House prices — not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

“a Reuters poll of analysts expects prices to fall another 4% this year before maybe stabilizing in 2027.”

Jul 15, 2026

Relayed

Graham Stephan, relaying Reuters poll of analysts: House prices — not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

“But, a Reuters poll of analysts expects prices to fall another 4% this year before maybe stabilizing in 2027.”

Jul 15, 2026

Relayed