“they've projected to raise rates another two-quarter percentage points before the end of the year bringing us to A 5.6 federal funds rate in just the next six months”Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
Said on Jun 14, 2023, at 8:46 in the video.
The window it was checked over
Federal funds target range, upper limit: Federal Reserve Board via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.
Result at every window
All windows are shown, so none is pickedSomebody else's forecast — not scored
What was said around it
to know as of a few hours ago the Federal Reserve stated that they would pause or skip the rate hike for the month of June marking the end of the last 10 consecutive rate hikes that we've seen since early 2022 however keep in mind that this doesn't mean we're in the clear entirely because as Jerome Powell emphasized they're ready to raise rates again if inflation doesn't show signs of slowing down and as they've signaled there could be more coming throughout the rest of the year for example as it stands right now they've projected to raise rates another two-quarter percentage points before the end of the year bringing us to A 5.6 federal funds rate in just the next six months obviously this was not priced in and higher interest rates would continue to put downward pressure on the markets but it is a very clear signal that we're likely to see another rate hike in July and probably another one in September at least until it's clear that all inflation is beginning to go down for anyone wondering this is why the stock market reacted so negatively within seconds of the report being announced fortunately though a slight pullback isn't anything out of the ordinary and we should begin to see
What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.
More on Fed policy rate
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“the market is now pricing in more than a 60% chance that on September 16th, the Federal Reserve raises interest rates by 25 basis points in addition to buying”
Sep 3, 2026
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“they're now expecting interest rates to increase a little bit in 2026 before falling back down again in 2027 and once again in 2028.”
Jun 17, 2026
Andrei JikhFed policy rate— no direction stated
“I think we already know what he's going to do, which is nothing.”
Jun 15, 2026 · after 1 year
Graham StephanFed policy ratewill fall
“Instead, it's quietly going to happen through pressure on the Federal Reserve and lower interest rates to the point where inflation exceeds it, eroding the purchasing power on everyone's money.”
Jun 1, 2026 · after 90 days
Andrei Jikh, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“The stock market thinks that there's going to be a rate increase by January 2027. the odds of a rate increase are above 70% and going up.”
May 26, 2026
Andrei Jikh, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“Because right now, the market is predicting a rate increase by January 2027. In fact, we are over 70% odds that interest rates will go up, which is the opposite of what everyone thought would happen.”
May 26, 2026