Said on Jun 21, 2023, at 5:21 in the video.
“it appears that the markets dipped when the SCP was released and this is probably because these so-called Dot Plot revealed that most fed officials see interest rates Rising by another 0.5 percent or 50 basis points by the end of the year”Federal funds target range, upper limit: Federal Reserve Board via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.
Somebody else's forecast — not scored
part of its dual mandate the other part being that two percent inflation if unemployment continues to rise it could mean a recession and a difficult decision for the Fed it was against this backdrop that Jerome took the stage last Wednesday for the fed's post-meeting press conference it's important to point out that the FED also published a summary of economic projections or SCP now an SCP is provided after every other fed meeting and shortly before the fed's press conference it appears that the markets dipped when the SCP was released and this is probably because these so-called Dot Plot revealed that most fed officials see interest rates Rising by another 0.5 percent or 50 basis points by the end of the year this was a revision hire compared with the previous SCP a surprise oddly enough the market started to recover when Jerome began his opening speech this was odd because Jerome's speech was hawkish indicative of further rate hikes he started by saying that the FED is committed to Bringing inflation back down to its two percent Target he then acknowledged that it has raised interest rates significantly over the last year and has also been selling assets from its balance sheet which
What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“the market is now pricing in more than a 60% chance that on September 16th, the Federal Reserve raises interest rates by 25 basis points in addition to buying”
Sep 3, 2026
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“they're now expecting interest rates to increase a little bit in 2026 before falling back down again in 2027 and once again in 2028.”
Jun 17, 2026
Andrei JikhFed policy rate— no direction stated
“I think we already know what he's going to do, which is nothing.”
Jun 15, 2026 · after 1 year
Graham StephanFed policy ratewill fall
“Instead, it's quietly going to happen through pressure on the Federal Reserve and lower interest rates to the point where inflation exceeds it, eroding the purchasing power on everyone's money.”
Jun 1, 2026 · after 90 days
Andrei Jikh, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“The stock market thinks that there's going to be a rate increase by January 2027. the odds of a rate increase are above 70% and going up.”
May 26, 2026
Andrei Jikh, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“Because right now, the market is predicting a rate increase by January 2027. In fact, we are over 70% odds that interest rates will go up, which is the opposite of what everyone thought would happen.”
May 26, 2026
