“this could have been because there was lots of hawkish rhetoric coming from the FED increasing investor expectations of another rate hike this month”Coin Bureau, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
Said on Jun 5, 2023, at 3:09 in the video.
The window it was checked over
Federal funds target range, upper limit: Federal Reserve Board via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.
Result at every window
All windows are shown, so none is pickedSomebody else's forecast — not scored
What was said around it
because of capital flight out of the Turkish lira into BTC unfortunately this time the capital flight was insufficient to kick-start another bull market just a few days later crypto prices fell back to where they were prior to the election this correction appears to have been due to concerns about the possibility that the tentative debt ceiling deal wouldn't be passed it appears that crypto recovered after U.S politicians in both the House and Senate passed the debt ceiling deal but the recovery didn't result in another rally this could have been because there was lots of hawkish rhetoric coming from the FED increasing investor expectations of another rate hike this month what's interesting is that there appears to have been a sudden sell-off in eth relative to BTC after President Biden finally signed the debt ceiling bill into law on Saturday this sell-off only lasted about eight hours but it seems to have marked a short-term high in the East BTC hinting of further downside now this is interesting because the last time the debt ceiling was raised was back in December 2021. in the six months that followed the U.S treasury refilled its bank account by sucking liquidity out of the markets it
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More on Fed policy rate
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“the market is now pricing in more than a 60% chance that on September 16th, the Federal Reserve raises interest rates by 25 basis points in addition to buying”
Sep 3, 2026
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“they're now expecting interest rates to increase a little bit in 2026 before falling back down again in 2027 and once again in 2028.”
Jun 17, 2026
Andrei JikhFed policy rate— no direction stated
“I think we already know what he's going to do, which is nothing.”
Jun 15, 2026 · after 1 year
Graham StephanFed policy ratewill fall
“Instead, it's quietly going to happen through pressure on the Federal Reserve and lower interest rates to the point where inflation exceeds it, eroding the purchasing power on everyone's money.”
Jun 1, 2026 · after 90 days
Andrei Jikh, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“The stock market thinks that there's going to be a rate increase by January 2027. the odds of a rate increase are above 70% and going up.”
May 26, 2026
Andrei Jikh, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“Because right now, the market is predicting a rate increase by January 2027. In fact, we are over 70% odds that interest rates will go up, which is the opposite of what everyone thought would happen.”
May 26, 2026