Said on Dec 6, 2023, at 8:32 in the video.
“they also expect that the Federal Reserve will begin lowering interest rates by mid 2024 which would prompt more sellers to sell and more buyers to obtain an affordable Mortgage in fact they anticipate that rates will be as low as 4% by late 2025”Federal funds target range, upper limit: Federal Reserve Board via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.
Somebody else's forecast — not scored
said let's get back to the video all right so in terms of why some analysts disagree with the belief that home prices will continue to stay strong look no further than Morgan Stanley because they believe that prices are about to get a lot more affordable in 2024 or I guess as they say we expect home sales to be weak in the first half of next year but activity should pick up in the second second half and further into 2025 and that's primarily because affordability will improve they also expect that the Federal Reserve will begin lowering interest rates by mid 2024 which would prompt more sellers to sell and more buyers to obtain an affordable Mortgage in fact they anticipate that rates will be as low as 4% by late 2025 meaning according to them we'll be back to almost 0% interest rates in Just 2 years from now the chief Economist at realtor.com also agrees with the sentiment that affordability is only going to improved from here noting that Fanny May the Mortgage Bankers Association and the National Association of Realtors all predicts that the 30-year mortgage rate will fall below 7% in the second half of 2024 however In fairness the critics of this say that none of these associations correctly
What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“the market is now pricing in more than a 60% chance that on September 16th, the Federal Reserve raises interest rates by 25 basis points in addition to buying”
Sep 3, 2026
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“they're now expecting interest rates to increase a little bit in 2026 before falling back down again in 2027 and once again in 2028.”
Jun 17, 2026
Andrei JikhFed policy rate— no direction stated
“I think we already know what he's going to do, which is nothing.”
Jun 15, 2026 · after 1 year
Graham StephanFed policy ratewill fall
“Instead, it's quietly going to happen through pressure on the Federal Reserve and lower interest rates to the point where inflation exceeds it, eroding the purchasing power on everyone's money.”
Jun 1, 2026 · after 90 days
Andrei Jikh, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“The stock market thinks that there's going to be a rate increase by January 2027. the odds of a rate increase are above 70% and going up.”
May 26, 2026
Andrei Jikh, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“Because right now, the market is predicting a rate increase by January 2027. In fact, we are over 70% odds that interest rates will go up, which is the opposite of what everyone thought would happen.”
May 26, 2026
