Graham Stephan, dẫn lời nguồn khác: Lãi suất chính sách Fed sẽ tăng

Khung thời gian được kiểm chứng

Cận trên của biên độ lãi suất mục tiêu quỹ liên bang (Fed funds): Hội đồng Thống đốc Cục Dự trữ Liên bang Mỹ, qua FRED, số liệu công bố lần đầu. Vùng tô là khung thời gian được kiểm chứng; vùng xám là các giai đoạn suy thoái.

Ngữ cảnh xung quanh

market's pretty much confirming that we're unlikely going to see any rate cuts anytime soon. In fact, they've just indicated a potential rate hike sometime this year, and that interest rates are expected to remain much more elevated than all of us were expecting. On top of that, today's the day where we get what's called the summary of economic projections, which basically forecasts where the entire Federal Reserve thinks our economy is heading over the next few years. And in terms of what they just said, like I mentioned earlier, they're now expecting interest rates to increase a little bit in 2026 before falling back down again in 2027 and once again in 2028. They also expect inflation to remain elevated at 3.6% throughout 2026 before eventually falling back down again. And funny enough, one of the ways that we can tell where the market's heading in the future is based on what's called the dot plot where every voting member gives the public full transparency as to what they think is best for the economy. But wouldn't you know it, Kevin Warsh wants to get rid of the dot plot entirely under the impression that the Fed should signal less and do more. Effectively meaning that we would all

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