“he said that history suggests it will have to keep rates high for a very long time so it will do exactly that”Coin Bureau, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
Said on Dec 10, 2022, at 8:24 in the video.
The window it was checked over
Federal funds target range, upper limit: Federal Reserve Board via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.
Result at every window
All windows are shown, so none is pickedSomebody else's forecast — not scored
What was said around it
to crash more and third unemployment needs to go up way up to that End the Fed will continue to raise interest rates though it will start to slow the pace of rate hikes as soon as December this is because the FED is aware that it takes time for its monetary policies to affect the actual economy specifically between one and two years depending on who you ask even so Jerome emphasized that the pace of rate hikes isn't nearly as important as how high the FED will need to actually raise rates and how long it will need to keep them at that level he said that history suggests it will have to keep rates high for a very long time so it will do exactly that this was all somehow perceived as positive by investors because the markets rallied in response anyways after Jerome's speech came the question period And I immediately recognized the moderator that's because it's the same chap who interviewed Michael Barr the fed's vice chair for supervision who coincidentally created the position at the FED that he now holds nothing to see here if you watched our video about Michael's appearance at the Brookings institution you'll know that this moderator David Wessel seems to be super political he made
What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.
More on Fed policy rate
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“the market is now pricing in more than a 60% chance that on September 16th, the Federal Reserve raises interest rates by 25 basis points in addition to buying”
Sep 3, 2026
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“they're now expecting interest rates to increase a little bit in 2026 before falling back down again in 2027 and once again in 2028.”
Jun 17, 2026
Andrei JikhFed policy rate— no direction stated
“I think we already know what he's going to do, which is nothing.”
Jun 15, 2026 · after 1 year
Graham StephanFed policy ratewill fall
“Instead, it's quietly going to happen through pressure on the Federal Reserve and lower interest rates to the point where inflation exceeds it, eroding the purchasing power on everyone's money.”
Jun 1, 2026 · after 90 days
Andrei Jikh, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“The stock market thinks that there's going to be a rate increase by January 2027. the odds of a rate increase are above 70% and going up.”
May 26, 2026
Andrei Jikh, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“Because right now, the market is predicting a rate increase by January 2027. In fact, we are over 70% odds that interest rates will go up, which is the opposite of what everyone thought would happen.”
May 26, 2026