Said on Jan 23, 2023, at 10:05 in the video.
“if the Central Bank and Papa Powell overcorrect by increasing their interest rates too much, could push the economy over the edge and slow us down way too much, which they've already told us they'll do twice this year.”Federal funds target range, upper limit: Federal Reserve Board via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.
Somebody else's forecast — not scored
the guy that's like, "My YouTube channel is predicting a recession." I'm not that arrogant, and I don't think my YouTube channel is a barometer for the whole economy. But I did make a couple of those videos warning people about the layoffs and that things could get worse. And then I thought 2023 would be the year to save as much money as possible, to cut back spending, and to work as hard as possible, so you make yourself extremely valuable, so you don't lose your job. Especially because if the Central Bank and Papa Powell overcorrect by increasing their interest rates too much, could push the economy over the edge and slow us down way too much, which they've already told us they'll do twice this year. And remember, the things we're feeling now were set in motion 8 to 12 months ago, because that's how slow the economy works. So, if we get another couple interest rate hikes that the economy doesn't like, then things could get a lot worse. And that's why I believe in saving more money this year and being a little over prepared to have at least two months of emergency savings, and maybe five to six months if you think things are going to get really, really bad. But at the very worst, the
What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“the market is now pricing in more than a 60% chance that on September 16th, the Federal Reserve raises interest rates by 25 basis points in addition to buying”
Sep 3, 2026
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“they're now expecting interest rates to increase a little bit in 2026 before falling back down again in 2027 and once again in 2028.”
Jun 17, 2026
Andrei JikhFed policy rate— no direction stated
“I think we already know what he's going to do, which is nothing.”
Jun 15, 2026 · after 1 year
Graham StephanFed policy ratewill fall
“Instead, it's quietly going to happen through pressure on the Federal Reserve and lower interest rates to the point where inflation exceeds it, eroding the purchasing power on everyone's money.”
Jun 1, 2026 · after 90 days
Andrei Jikh, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“The stock market thinks that there's going to be a rate increase by January 2027. the odds of a rate increase are above 70% and going up.”
May 26, 2026
Andrei Jikh, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“Because right now, the market is predicting a rate increase by January 2027. In fact, we are over 70% odds that interest rates will go up, which is the opposite of what everyone thought would happen.”
May 26, 2026
