“if the Central Bank and Papa Powell overcorrect by increasing their interest rates too much, could push the economy over the edge and slow us down way too much, which they've already told us they'll do twice this year.”Andrei Jikh, dẫn lời nguồn khác: Lãi suất chính sách Fed sẽ tăng
Được nói ngày 23/01/2023, tại 10:05 trong video.
Khung thời gian được kiểm chứng
Cận trên của biên độ lãi suất mục tiêu quỹ liên bang (Fed funds): Hội đồng Thống đốc Cục Dự trữ Liên bang Mỹ, qua FRED, số liệu công bố lần đầu. Vùng tô là khung thời gian được kiểm chứng; vùng xám là các giai đoạn suy thoái.
Kết quả ở từng khung thời gian
Hiển thị đủ mọi khung, không chọn khung có lợiDự báo của người khác — không chấm
Ngữ cảnh xung quanh
the guy that's like, "My YouTube channel is predicting a recession." I'm not that arrogant, and I don't think my YouTube channel is a barometer for the whole economy. But I did make a couple of those videos warning people about the layoffs and that things could get worse. And then I thought 2023 would be the year to save as much money as possible, to cut back spending, and to work as hard as possible, so you make yourself extremely valuable, so you don't lose your job. Especially because if the Central Bank and Papa Powell overcorrect by increasing their interest rates too much, could push the economy over the edge and slow us down way too much, which they've already told us they'll do twice this year. And remember, the things we're feeling now were set in motion 8 to 12 months ago, because that's how slow the economy works. So, if we get another couple interest rate hikes that the economy doesn't like, then things could get a lot worse. And that's why I believe in saving more money this year and being a little over prepared to have at least two months of emergency savings, and maybe five to six months if you think things are going to get really, really bad. But at the very worst, the
Lời của người nói được giữ nguyên văn và không bao giờ được dịch. Đường dẫn mở đúng giây đó trong video.
Thêm nhận định về Lãi suất chính sách Fed
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“they're now expecting interest rates to increase a little bit in 2026 before falling back down again in 2027 and once again in 2028.”
17/06/2026
Andrei JikhLãi suất chính sách Fed— không nêu hướng
“I think we already know what he's going to do, which is nothing.”
15/06/2026 · sau 1 năm
Graham StephanLãi suất chính sách Fedsẽ giảm
“Instead, it's quietly going to happen through pressure on the Federal Reserve and lower interest rates to the point where inflation exceeds it, eroding the purchasing power on everyone's money.”
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Andrei Jikh, dẫn lời nguồn khác: Lãi suất chính sách Fed sẽ tăng
“The stock market thinks that there's going to be a rate increase by January 2027. the odds of a rate increase are above 70% and going up.”
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Andrei Jikh, dẫn lời nguồn khác: Lãi suất chính sách Fed sẽ tăng
“Because right now, the market is predicting a rate increase by January 2027. In fact, we are over 70% odds that interest rates will go up, which is the opposite of what everyone thought would happen.”
26/05/2026