Coin Bureau: BTC will fall

Said on Oct 26, 2025, at 20:00 in the video.

What was said
Coin Bureau

@coinbureau

“eventually BTC's rally will run out of  steam. And if Sailor's company starts to stumble,   that could post a big risk to Bitcoin.”
Watch at 20:00This CRAZY Report Could CRASH ETH's Price!
PredictionBTCwill fallChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years
What happenedafter 1 year
Correct

Entry price (first close after the video)

$114,559

Oct 26, 2025

Price at close

$80,151

Oct 26, 2026

Return

−30.0%

S&P 500 +12.9%

BTC closed at $114,559 on Oct 26, 2025. On Oct 26, 2026 it closed at $80,151, a return of −30.0%. SPY returned +12.9% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.

30 days

Correct

90 days

Correct

180 days

Correct

1 year

Correct

The window it was checked over

BTCWindow checked
$40,000$60,000$80,000$100,000$120,000$140,000Apr 2025Aug 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jul 2026Nov 2026Said on Oct 26, 2025
$40,000$60,000$80,000$100,000$120,000$140,000Apr 2025Oct 2025May 2026Nov 2026Said on Oct 26, 2025

BTC closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-DIR v4Correct$114,559Oct 26, 2025$87,370Nov 25, 2025−23.7%S&P 500 −1.5%
90 daysR-DIR v4Correct$114,559Oct 26, 2025$89,225Jan 24, 2026−22.1%S&P 500 +0.9%
180 daysR-DIR v4Correct$114,559Oct 26, 2025$77,437Apr 24, 2026−32.4%S&P 500 +4.8%
1 yearR-DIR v4Correct$114,559Oct 26, 2025$80,151Oct 26, 2026−30.0%S&P 500 +12.9%
3 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Oct 25, 2028——
5 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Oct 25, 2030——
Why: 30 days

BTC closed at $114,559 on Oct 26, 2025. On Nov 25, 2025 it closed at $87,370, a return of −23.7%. SPY returned −1.5% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.

Why: 90 days

BTC closed at $114,559 on Oct 26, 2025. On Jan 24, 2026 it closed at $89,225, a return of −22.1%. SPY returned +0.9% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.

Why: 180 days

BTC closed at $114,559 on Oct 26, 2025. On Apr 24, 2026 it closed at $77,437, a return of −32.4%. SPY returned +4.8% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.

Why: 1 year

BTC closed at $114,559 on Oct 26, 2025. On Oct 26, 2026 it closed at $80,151, a return of −30.0%. SPY returned +12.9% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.

Why: 3 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Oct 25, 2028.

Why: 5 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Oct 25, 2030.

What was said around it

Widely  regarded as the most important DACO out there,   its MNAV has already dropped to around 1.2x.  2x and could be heading toward a 1x with the   risk of dipping even lower. If that happens,  it would signal that the entire DAT model may   be fundamentally unsustainable. And if that were  to happen, we could see these Treasury companies   being forced to sell their crypto, even BTC.  This might sound extreme until you consider   how influential Strategy and Sailor himself are  to Bitcoin. I know you don't want to hear it,   but eventually BTC's rally will run out of  steam. And if Sailor's company starts to stumble,   that could post a big risk to Bitcoin. Before you  get upset though, just remember that all of these   problems are theoretical until they become real.  Micro Strategy has already survived one cryptobear   market, and it's possible that Bitine will survive  the next one, too. So long as the largest crypto   treasury companies don't go under, the systemic  risk is pretty low. Just remember though that   this risk does exist and it's very real. Okay,  so if you want to learn more about the corporate   accumulation of Bitcoin, then you can check out  that video right over

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

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