Andrei Jikh, dẫn lời nguồn khác: Lãi suất chính sách Fed sẽ tăng

Khung thời gian được kiểm chứng

Cận trên của biên độ lãi suất mục tiêu quỹ liên bang (Fed funds): Hội đồng Thống đốc Cục Dự trữ Liên bang Mỹ, qua FRED, số liệu công bố lần đầu. Vùng tô là khung thời gian được kiểm chứng; vùng xám là các giai đoạn suy thoái.

Ngữ cảnh xung quanh

lower the rates and break the bond market or do we increase rates and break the economy? The side effect of raising rates is that you break the economy at a time when credit card delinquencies are already above 12%. Autoloan defaults are going up. Private credit markets are at risk. The housing market is significantly slowed down. And the stock market valuations are super high. So what's the government going to do? There's a clue. The stock market, remember, is always trying to predict the future. And here's what it's predicting. The stock market thinks that there's going to be a rate increase by January 2027. the odds of a rate increase are above 70% and going up. The market is basically saying that the Fed has lost control of the situation and the only thing they can do about it is to raise rates so that people keep buying our debt, which means also charging you and I more to borrow money. Now, Kevin Worsh, who Trump wanted as the new Fed chair, specifically to lower rates, sort of finds himself in his new job with an impossible situation. But I think he has a plan. And this is the plan I want you to pay attention to. Under Kevin Wars, the Fed is now proposing a change to how they measure

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