Andrei Jikh, dẫn lời nguồn khác: Lãi suất chính sách Fed sẽ tăng

Khung thời gian được kiểm chứng

Cận trên của biên độ lãi suất mục tiêu quỹ liên bang (Fed funds): Hội đồng Thống đốc Cục Dự trữ Liên bang Mỹ, qua FRED, số liệu công bố lần đầu. Vùng tô là khung thời gian được kiểm chứng; vùng xám là các giai đoạn suy thoái.

Ngữ cảnh xung quanh

now. Chris Waller, who was one of the first people to vote for rate cuts, he's now saying he's prepared to vote for rate increases if the war goes on and inflation does not come down. Here's a line from his speech. I can no longer rule out rate hikes further down the road if inflation does not abate soon. And that is especially true if measures of inflation expectations, some of which have risen lately, show signs of becoming unanchored. It's what's about to happen to the cost of borrowing money. Because right now, the market is predicting a rate increase by January 2027. In fact, we are over 70% odds that interest rates will go up, which is the opposite of what everyone thought would happen. Cuz a year ago, everyone on Wall Street was betting that the Federal Reserve would lower rates three, four, maybe five times by now. Goldman Sachs was saying this. The bond market was predicting it. That was allegedly the reason why Trump wanted Kevin Worsh as the new Fed chair so that he could lower interest rates. But that's not what happened. Here's what happened instead. Two of America's biggest foreign buyers of debt are now selling US government debt. Right? And it's not just them. It is also

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