“the markets expect rates to be at the end of the year one month ago we had a 91% chance of three
rate cuts and today it's only 20%”Coin Bureau, dẫn lời nguồn khác: Lãi suất chính sách Fed sẽ giảm
Được nói ngày 02/06/2025, tại 7:14 trong video.
Khung thời gian được kiểm chứng
Cận trên của biên độ lãi suất mục tiêu quỹ liên bang (Fed funds): Hội đồng Thống đốc Cục Dự trữ Liên bang Mỹ, qua FRED, số liệu công bố lần đầu. Vùng tô là khung thời gian được kiểm chứng; vùng xám là các giai đoạn suy thoái.
Kết quả ở từng khung thời gian
Hiển thị đủ mọi khung, không chọn khung có lợiDự báo của người khác — không chấm
Ngữ cảnh xung quanh
that Wednesday evening and they showed that the Fed was still they were acknowledging there were some difficult trade-offs in the coming coming months in the form of rising inflation alongside rising unemployment and you can see the probabilities here for the Fed uh interest rate uh in December according to the CME Fed rate watch and what's interesting is you'll note the light blue is where we were a month ago and the dark blue is where we are currently and you see the entire distribution shifting uh to where uh the markets expect rates to be at the end of the year one month ago we had a 91% chance of three rate cuts and today it's only 20% so it's pretty crazy so rate cuts still still just not a thing not a thing no um something else that potentially could have impacted on the Bitcoin price was the you know this the the Bitcoin conference now if you've been following the Bitcoin conference over the past few years you know it generally tends to mark a bit of a top and then Bitcoin starts to fall and indeed um some of the attendees at the conference in this picture if you'll notice the guy in the with the arrow pointed him ah yes a serial offender
Lời của người nói được giữ nguyên văn và không bao giờ được dịch. Đường dẫn mở đúng giây đó trong video.
Thêm nhận định về Lãi suất chính sách Fed
Graham Stephan, dẫn lời nguồn khác: Lãi suất chính sách Fed sẽ tăng
“the market is now pricing in more than a 60% chance that on September 16th, the Federal Reserve raises interest rates by 25 basis points in addition to buying”
03/09/2026
Graham Stephan, dẫn lời nguồn khác: Lãi suất chính sách Fed sẽ tăng
“they're now expecting interest rates to increase a little bit in 2026 before falling back down again in 2027 and once again in 2028.”
17/06/2026
Andrei JikhLãi suất chính sách Fed— không nêu hướng
“I think we already know what he's going to do, which is nothing.”
15/06/2026 · sau 1 năm
Graham StephanLãi suất chính sách Fedsẽ giảm
“Instead, it's quietly going to happen through pressure on the Federal Reserve and lower interest rates to the point where inflation exceeds it, eroding the purchasing power on everyone's money.”
01/06/2026 · sau 90 ngày
Andrei Jikh, dẫn lời nguồn khác: Lãi suất chính sách Fed sẽ tăng
“The stock market thinks that there's going to be a rate increase by January 2027. the odds of a rate increase are above 70% and going up.”
26/05/2026
Andrei Jikh, dẫn lời nguồn khác: Lãi suất chính sách Fed sẽ tăng
“Because right now, the market is predicting a rate increase by January 2027. In fact, we are over 70% odds that interest rates will go up, which is the opposite of what everyone thought would happen.”
26/05/2026