“the market is predicting that there's only a 5.8 percent chance that the rate will stay exactly as it is instead it shows that the most likely outcome is that interest rates will go up by a quarter percent or the fancy way of saying it is 25 basis points on July 26th it shows there's a 94 chance that the new rate will be between 5.25 and five and a half percent”Andrei Jikh, dẫn lời nguồn khác: Lãi suất chính sách Fed sẽ tăng
Được nói ngày 14/07/2023, tại 6:16 trong video.
Khung thời gian được kiểm chứng
Cận trên của biên độ lãi suất mục tiêu quỹ liên bang (Fed funds): Hội đồng Thống đốc Cục Dự trữ Liên bang Mỹ, qua FRED, số liệu công bố lần đầu. Vùng tô là khung thời gian được kiểm chứng; vùng xám là các giai đoạn suy thoái.
Kết quả ở từng khung thời gian
Hiển thị đủ mọi khung, không chọn khung có lợiDự báo của người khác — không chấm
Ngữ cảnh xung quanh
July 26th we're gonna find out what's going to happen to interest rates and if you don't want to know the spoilers spoilers ahead so just a fair warning because the market already knows there's a tool that's called the CME fed watch tool that's been extremely reliable in predicting what will happen and here's what it says you can see that the current interest rate is 500 to 525 basis points that's 5 to 5.25 percent the market is predicting that there's only a 5.8 percent chance that the rate will stay exactly as it is instead it shows that the most likely outcome is that interest rates will go up by a quarter percent or the fancy way of saying it is 25 basis points on July 26th it shows there's a 94 chance that the new rate will be between 5.25 and five and a half percent now if you were disappointed by this news because maybe you were looking forward to buy a house at a lower interest rate don't be too upset and don't get a loan right now thinking that you can get in before those rates go up because most of the commercial Banks not all of them but a lot of them do this have already Christ in the new loans today based on the data that I just shared with you as soon as they figure this
Lời của người nói được giữ nguyên văn và không bao giờ được dịch. Đường dẫn mở đúng giây đó trong video.
Thêm nhận định về Lãi suất chính sách Fed
Graham Stephan, dẫn lời nguồn khác: Lãi suất chính sách Fed sẽ tăng
“the market is now pricing in more than a 60% chance that on September 16th, the Federal Reserve raises interest rates by 25 basis points in addition to buying”
03/09/2026
Graham Stephan, dẫn lời nguồn khác: Lãi suất chính sách Fed sẽ tăng
“they're now expecting interest rates to increase a little bit in 2026 before falling back down again in 2027 and once again in 2028.”
17/06/2026
Andrei JikhLãi suất chính sách Fed— không nêu hướng
“I think we already know what he's going to do, which is nothing.”
15/06/2026 · sau 1 năm
Graham StephanLãi suất chính sách Fedsẽ giảm
“Instead, it's quietly going to happen through pressure on the Federal Reserve and lower interest rates to the point where inflation exceeds it, eroding the purchasing power on everyone's money.”
01/06/2026 · sau 90 ngày
Andrei Jikh, dẫn lời nguồn khác: Lãi suất chính sách Fed sẽ tăng
“The stock market thinks that there's going to be a rate increase by January 2027. the odds of a rate increase are above 70% and going up.”
26/05/2026
Andrei Jikh, dẫn lời nguồn khác: Lãi suất chính sách Fed sẽ tăng
“Because right now, the market is predicting a rate increase by January 2027. In fact, we are over 70% odds that interest rates will go up, which is the opposite of what everyone thought would happen.”
26/05/2026