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Coin Bureau: Market crash — not judged: the rule reads only the US stock market in general

Said on Oct 27, 2022, at 21:18 in the video.

What was said
Coin Bureau

@coinbureau

“we are in the middle of a crypto bear market that's likely to last for at least another year.”
Watch at 21:18Aptos Review: APT Any Potential?! This You NEED To Know!!
PredictionMarket crash— not judged: the rule reads only the US stock market in generalChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years
What happenedafter 1 year
Not verifiable

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names a subject other than the US stock market as a whole; this rule reads SPY only.

30 days

Not verifiable

90 days

Not verifiable

180 days

Not verifiable

1 year

Not verifiable

Details and evidenceReport a problem

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-CRASH v4Not verifiable————
90 daysR-CRASH v4Not verifiable————
180 daysR-CRASH v4Not verifiable————
1 yearR-CRASH v4Not verifiable————
3 yearsR-CRASH v4Not verifiable————
5 yearsR-CRASH v4Not verifiable————
Why: 30 days

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names a subject other than the US stock market as a whole; this rule reads SPY only.

Why: 90 days

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names a subject other than the US stock market as a whole; this rule reads SPY only.

Why: 180 days

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names a subject other than the US stock market as a whole; this rule reads SPY only.

Why: 1 year

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names a subject other than the US stock market as a whole; this rule reads SPY only.

Why: 3 years

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names a subject other than the US stock market as a whole; this rule reads SPY only.

Why: 5 years

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names a subject other than the US stock market as a whole; this rule reads SPY only.

What was said around it

along with the locking and unlocking time for the APT coin. What is clear is that there is no slashing risk for misbehavior. So, at least all the VCs won't have to worry about losing their precious APT. It would also be nice to know exactly how many dApps there are on Aptos and how many unique wallets are actually using them. DappRadar hasn't started tracking Aptos dApps yet, but the dapp list in the Martian wallet suggests there are at least 20 up and running. Not bad for a brand new crypto project. Unfortunately, this doesn't change the fact that we are in the middle of a crypto bear market that's likely to last for at least another year. The harsh reality is that almost all APT's price action has so far been driven by speculation, not organic adoption. Luckily, Aptos has lots of milestones ahead of it. The closest thing Aptos has to a road map is a blog post from March this year titled quote the Aptos vision. The TLDR is that Aptos wants to scale to support billions of users and every use case you can think of, just like every other new crypto. The difference is that Aptos actually has the tech to do it. That doesn't mean Aptos will scale overnight, however. The team and founders

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

See all

Graham StephanMarket crashwill not happen

“Worst-case scenario is that investors get pushed to a point where it all unravels at once. But, given how Washington is closely monitoring the situation, I tend to believe that's probably not going to happen, and most likely this is going to blow over in a few weeks.”

Aug 3, 2026 · after 90 days

Correct so far · 90 days0.0%

Andrei Jikha call with no clear direction

“So basically what we know is that every single time the yen got stronger really fast, it meant that markets somewhere in the world were starting to break.”

Jul 28, 2026

Not scored

Graham Stephan, relaying Ed Yardeni: a call with no clear direction

“the veteran strategist Ed Yardeni, who's usually one of the most bullish people on the planet, recently raised his probability of a market meltdown to 35% citing the collision of the Iran oil shock with existing trade pressures.”

Jul 27, 2026

Relayed

Coin Bureaua call under review

“the next major crypto collapse is  unlikely to come from a regulator crackdown. It   is going to come from a regulator that looked away  while a politically connected firm built something   it could not actually support.”

Jun 4, 2026

Not scored

Graham StephanMarket crashwill not happen

“To me, the most realistic outcome here is not a sudden market crash that no one sees coming, but instead a slow constriction of the”

May 18, 2026 · after 90 days

Correct so far · 90 days+6.1%

Coin BureauMarket crash— not judged: the rule reads only the US stock market in general

“Or are we watching the slow-motion opening of a 2022 style cascade where the largest concentrated holder of an asset eventually becomes the trigger for the next major leg lower?”

May 9, 2026 · after 1 year

Not verifiable