Coin Bureau: Interest rates will fall

Said on Apr 8, 2025, at 11:03 in the video.

What was said
Coin Bureau

@coinbureau

“investors can be expected to flee from risk  assets into the safety of US 10-year Treasury   notes pushing down their yields and therefore  the size of the government's debt repayments”
Watch at 11:03Recession by Design?! The Shocking Liberation Day Theory
PredictionInterest rateswill fallChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years
What happenedafter 1 year
Not verifiable

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names bond, Treasury or mortgage yields; this rule reads the Fed's policy rate only.

30 days

Not verifiable

90 days

Not verifiable

180 days

Not verifiable

1 year

Not verifiable

The window it was checked over

Interest ratesWindow checkedRecession (NBER)
0%1%2%3%4%5%6%202220232024202420252026Said on Apr 8, 2025
0%2%4%6%2022202320252026Said on Apr 8, 2025

Federal funds target range, upper limit: Federal Reserve Board via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-FED v4Not verifiable————
90 daysR-FED v4Not verifiable————
180 daysR-FED v4Not verifiable————
1 yearR-FED v4Not verifiable————
3 yearsR-FED v4Not verifiable————
5 yearsR-FED v4Not verifiable————
Why: 30 days

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names bond, Treasury or mortgage yields; this rule reads the Fed's policy rate only.

Why: 90 days

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names bond, Treasury or mortgage yields; this rule reads the Fed's policy rate only.

Why: 180 days

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names bond, Treasury or mortgage yields; this rule reads the Fed's policy rate only.

Why: 1 year

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names bond, Treasury or mortgage yields; this rule reads the Fed's policy rate only.

Why: 3 years

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names bond, Treasury or mortgage yields; this rule reads the Fed's policy rate only.

Why: 5 years

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names bond, Treasury or mortgage yields; this rule reads the Fed's policy rate only.

What was said around it

cutting cycle to play out   you could take a more proactive approach if the  Fed's motivation for cutting interest rates is a   slowing economy then why not just go ahead and  slam on the brakes or you know just drive the   vehicle straight off a cliff so if the tariffs  look like a car crash then perhaps we should   believe our eyes after all the purpose of a system  is what it does the tariffs will tank the economy   which will most likely prompt the Federal  Reserve to lower interest rates significantly   investors can be expected to flee from risk  assets into the safety of US 10-year Treasury   notes pushing down their yields and therefore  the size of the government's debt repayments   now evidence for this sequence of events includes  Trump's frequent challenges to the Fed's legal and   operational independence he has openly criticized  and discussed firing Jerome Pal he has said that   presidents should quote have a say in rate  decisions and cited his business credentials   as superior to Fed officials expertise trump has  demanded Jerome Pal cut rates on at least two   occasions this year he did so in a speech at Davos  and again 2 days after his liberation day tariffs   announcement

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

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