Coin Bureau: Market crash — not judged: the rule reads only the US stock market in general

Said on May 31, 2025, at 18:19 in the video.

What was said
Coin Bureau

@coinbureau

“the result   could be the exact same thing a massive meltup  in crypto prices followed by a meltdown when   someone starts selling and collateral starts being  liquidated left and right”
Watch at 18:19How the SEC Could Trigger the Next Crypto Bull Run
PredictionMarket crash— not judged: the rule reads only the US stock market in generalChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years
What happenedafter 1 year
Not verifiable

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names a subject other than the US stock market as a whole; this rule reads SPY only.

30 days

Not verifiable

90 days

Not verifiable

180 days

Not verifiable

1 year

Not verifiable

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-CRASH v4Not verifiable————
90 daysR-CRASH v4Not verifiable————
180 daysR-CRASH v4Not verifiable————
1 yearR-CRASH v4Not verifiable————
3 yearsR-CRASH v4Not verifiable————
5 yearsR-CRASH v4Not verifiable————
Why: 30 days

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names a subject other than the US stock market as a whole; this rule reads SPY only.

Why: 90 days

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names a subject other than the US stock market as a whole; this rule reads SPY only.

Why: 180 days

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names a subject other than the US stock market as a whole; this rule reads SPY only.

Why: 1 year

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names a subject other than the US stock market as a whole; this rule reads SPY only.

Why: 3 years

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names a subject other than the US stock market as a whole; this rule reads SPY only.

Why: 5 years

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names a subject other than the US stock market as a whole; this rule reads SPY only.

What was said around it

Coinbase is launching   exactly these kinds of products even so the real  problem is a lack of regulatory clarity around   DeFi and I'll reiterate that the SEC appears to  be on the brink of giving this guidance if not a   temporary exemption to all regulations this could  result in tens possibly hundreds of billions of   dollars being borrowed using crypto as collateral  logically these billions will likely be reinvested   back into crypto just as retail investors did  with their stocks back in the 1920s and the result   could be the exact same thing a massive meltup  in crypto prices followed by a meltdown when   someone starts selling and collateral starts being  liquidated left and right the difference though is   that the crypto debt bubble could theoretically  be 40x larger than the stock debt bubble to put   things into perspective Federal Reserve data shows  that investors had borrowed roughly $1.7 billion   against their stocks in the early 1920s at the  time of the 1929 crash this debt had grown to $8.5   billion if we use DeFi's growth as a parallel we  end up with some pretty staggering statistics per   that Galaxy Digital report there was $65 billion  of crypto borrowing between

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

See all

Graham StephanMarket crashwill not happen

“Worst-case scenario is that investors get pushed to a point where it all unravels at once. But, given how Washington is closely monitoring the situation, I tend to believe that's probably not going to happen, and most likely this is going to blow over in a few weeks.”

Aug 3, 2026 · after 90 days

Correct so far · 90 days0.0%

Andrei Jikha call with no clear direction

“So basically what we know is that every single time the yen got stronger really fast, it meant that markets somewhere in the world were starting to break.”

Jul 28, 2026

Not scored

Graham Stephan, relaying Ed Yardeni: a call with no clear direction

“the veteran strategist Ed Yardeni, who's usually one of the most bullish people on the planet, recently raised his probability of a market meltdown to 35% citing the collision of the Iran oil shock with existing trade pressures.”

Jul 27, 2026

Relayed

Coin Bureaua call under review

“the next major crypto collapse is  unlikely to come from a regulator crackdown. It   is going to come from a regulator that looked away  while a politically connected firm built something   it could not actually support.”

Jun 4, 2026

Not scored

Graham StephanMarket crashwill not happen

“To me, the most realistic outcome here is not a sudden market crash that no one sees coming, but instead a slow constriction of the”

May 18, 2026 · after 90 days

Correct so far · 90 days+6.1%

Coin BureauMarket crash— not judged: the rule reads only the US stock market in general

“Or are we watching the slow-motion opening of a 2022 style cascade where the largest concentrated holder of an asset eventually becomes the trigger for the next major leg lower?”

May 9, 2026 · after 1 year

Not verifiable