Graham Stephan: Interest rates — no direction stated

Said on May 21, 2026, at 11:05 in the video.

What was said
Graham Stephan

@grahamstephan

“the average American carries thousands of dollars in credit card debt at rates already above 20%. That number is not going down anytime soon.”
Watch at 11:05The New Fed Chair's Plan To Reset The Entire Money System (Nobody Is Ready)
PredictionInterest rates— no direction statedChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years
What happenedafter 1 year
Not verifiable

Not verifiable: no direction stated. The claim does not say whether the policy rate will be cut or raised.

30 days

Not verifiable

90 days

Not verifiable

180 days

Not verifiable

1 year

Not verifiable

The window it was checked over

Interest ratesWindow checkedRecession (NBER)
3.5%4%4.5%5%5.5%6%202320242024202520262026Said on May 21, 2026
3.5%4%4.5%5%5.5%6%2023202420252026Said on May 21, 2026

Federal funds target range, upper limit: Federal Reserve Board via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-FED v4Not verifiable————
90 daysR-FED v4Not verifiable————
180 daysR-FED v4Not verifiable————
1 yearR-FED v4Not verifiable————
3 yearsR-FED v4Not verifiable————
5 yearsR-FED v4Not verifiable————
Why: 30 days

Not verifiable: no direction stated. The claim does not say whether the policy rate will be cut or raised.

Why: 90 days

Not verifiable: no direction stated. The claim does not say whether the policy rate will be cut or raised.

Why: 180 days

Not verifiable: no direction stated. The claim does not say whether the policy rate will be cut or raised.

Why: 1 year

Not verifiable: no direction stated. The claim does not say whether the policy rate will be cut or raised.

Why: 3 years

Not verifiable: no direction stated. The claim does not say whether the policy rate will be cut or raised.

Why: 5 years

Not verifiable: no direction stated. The claim does not say whether the policy rate will be cut or raised.

What was said around it

and more expensive government debt, which impacts everybody. So, in terms of what this means for you, and what's most likely going to happen over these next few months, here's what you came for. And we should start with the biggest losers. Unfortunately, this next year is going to be extremely difficult, especially for first, those with debt. For example, credit cards, auto loans, personal loans, business loans, variable mortgage rates, all of that gets more expensive when rates stay higher for longer. Like, keep in mind that the average American carries thousands of dollars in credit card debt at rates already above 20%. That number is not going down anytime soon. On top of that, mortgage rates are now hitting 7% again. So, first-time buyers, or anyone getting debt today, is getting screwed. Second, growth stocks might suffer. Look, here's the math that most people don't consider. When interest rates rise, future profits become worth less in today's dollars. That means high multiple tech stocks, AI plays, speculative names, anything priced on earnings years from now gets repriced lower because today's rates pay more. Third, housing stays frozen. Keep in mind that mortgage rates are already

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