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Coin Bureau: SPY will fall

Said on Sep 4, 2022, at 15:36 in the video.

What was said
Coin Bureau

@coinbureau

“i'll caution that it's more than likely that we're going to see the crypto market go much lower later this year along with the stock market”
Watch at 15:36Retail CRYPTO BANS Are Here! What It Could Mean For YOU!
PredictionSPYwill fallby Dec 31, 2022

Recorded as stock market, a word for a group: this call is judged on SPY, the stand-in the method assigns to it.

What happenedafter 1 year
Incorrect

Entry price (first close after the video)

$390.76

Sep 6, 2022

Price at close

$451.19

Sep 1, 2023

Total return, dividends included

+17.4%

SPY closed at $390.76 on Sep 6, 2022. On Sep 1, 2023 it closed at $451.19, a total return of +17.4% (dividends included). The call was that it would fall.

30 days

Correct

90 days

Incorrect

180 days

Incorrect

1 year

Incorrect

Details and evidenceReport a problem

The window it was checked over

SPYWindow checked
$340$360$380$400$420$440$460$480Mar 2022Jul 2022Nov 2022Mar 2023Jul 2023Oct 2023Said on Sep 4, 2022
$350$400$450$500Mar 2022Sep 2022Apr 2023Oct 2023Said on Sep 4, 2022

SPY closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-DIR v4Correct$390.76Sep 6, 2022$377.97Oct 4, 2022−2.9%Total return, dividends included—
90 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$390.76Sep 6, 2022$406.91Dec 2, 2022+4.6%Total return, dividends included—
180 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$390.76Sep 6, 2022$404.19Mar 3, 2023+4.3%Total return, dividends included—
1 yearR-DIR v4Incorrect$390.76Sep 6, 2022$451.19Sep 1, 2023+17.4%Total return, dividends included—
3 yearsR-DIR v4Incorrect$390.76Sep 6, 2022$643.74Sep 3, 2025+71.9%Total return, dividends included—
5 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Sep 3, 2027——
Stated deadlineR-DIR v4Correct$390.76Sep 6, 2022$382.43Dec 30, 2022−1.3%Total return, dividends included—
Why: 30 days

SPY closed at $390.76 on Sep 6, 2022. On Oct 4, 2022 it closed at $377.97, a total return of −2.9% (dividends included). The call was that it would fall.

Why: 90 days

SPY closed at $390.76 on Sep 6, 2022. On Dec 2, 2022 it closed at $406.91, a total return of +4.6% (dividends included). The call was that it would fall.

Why: 180 days

SPY closed at $390.76 on Sep 6, 2022. On Mar 3, 2023 it closed at $404.19, a total return of +4.3% (dividends included). The call was that it would fall.

Why: 1 year

SPY closed at $390.76 on Sep 6, 2022. On Sep 1, 2023 it closed at $451.19, a total return of +17.4% (dividends included). The call was that it would fall.

Why: 3 years

SPY closed at $390.76 on Sep 6, 2022. On Sep 3, 2025 it closed at $643.74, a total return of +71.9% (dividends included). The call was that it would fall.

Why: 5 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Sep 3, 2027.

Why: Stated deadline

SPY closed at $390.76 on Sep 6, 2022. On Dec 30, 2022 it closed at $382.43, a total return of −1.3% (dividends included). The call was that it would fall.

What was said around it

regulators in thailand demanding that crypto exchanges d-list meme coins nfts and social tokens more recently singapore announced it wants to limit retail crypto investment and as i mentioned in the introduction in canada the ontario sec set an annual limit of 30 000 canadian dollars on altcoin investments for citizens of the province which presumably excludes accredited investors i'll reiterate that most if not all these restrictions are being encouraged if not outright called for by disgruntled cryptocurrency investors and i'll caution that it's more than likely that we're going to see the crypto market go much lower later this year along with the stock market when this inevitably happens you can bet that there will be even more calls for crypto regulation and retribution most of which will inevitably result in retail investors like you and me having even less access to cryptocurrencies and all the different ways you can trade them what's even more concerning is that this will make it that much more difficult for new crypto projects to get off the ground since they'll be more exclusive to accredited investors than ever before not only that but it will be even more difficult for quality

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

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“Instead, just invest the difference in the S&P 500. And over the long term, over the next 20 years, you're going to have so much more money than what you would have put in the property.”

Sep 9, 2026 · after 1 year

Not verifiable

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“Fidelity thinks that this is just the very beginning and the markets will continue going higher because of AI.”

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Andrei JikhSPYwill fall

“However, before the United States returns to the big print, the markets can continue going down.”

Aug 5, 2026 · after 90 days

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“On top of that, Morgan Stanley also believes 500 is going to rise this year, ending at 7,800. Citibank sees 7,700, and both JP Morgan and Wells Fargo see a relatively flat market for these next few months.”

Jul 27, 2026

Relayed

Graham Stephan, relaying Goldman Sachs: SPY will rise

“Goldman Sachs just raised their year-end S&P 500 target to 8,000, up from 7,600, which implies solid upside from where we are today.”

Jul 27, 2026

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Graham StephanSPYwill fall

“Historically, when the savings rate reaches an absolute low like this, the stock market tends to suffer in the years following. Now, I'm not saying that's a guarantee, but it's something at least worth considering.”

Jun 25, 2026 · after 90 days

Incorrect so far · 90 days+5.6%