Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Market crash will not happen

Said on Jan 5, 2026, at 14:22 in the video.

What was said
Graham Stephan

@grahamstephan

“the general consensus seems to be that we're not likely to see one asset class explode in price or an imminent collapse that's about to wipe everybody out.”
Watch at 14:22I'm Selling... Where I'm Investing in 2026
PredictionMarket crashwill not happen
What happened
Relayed

Somebody else's forecast — not scored

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked

Somebody else's forecast — not scored

What was said around it

market. Now, in terms of Bitcoin, I allocate about 10 to 15% of my entire portfolio into a Bitcoin ETF. This is an amount that I'm willing to risk, and if it goes to zero, you know what? So be it. But long term, I am optimistic that people are going to be looking for a digital store of value. I have no doubt the Fed will just continue printing more money. And over the next 10 years, as long as I'm not holding on to dollars, I'm happy. Beyond that though, when I zoom out and I look at analyst expectations throughout 2026, the general consensus seems to be that we're not likely to see one asset class explode in price or an imminent collapse that's about to wipe everybody out. But instead, we're probably entering a time of lower, choppier returns, a little more volatility, and fewer easy wins. At the end of the day, the future is likely going to reward consistency, patience, and discipline. And I don't think that's a bad thing. I've just noticed that markets tend to punish people who chase headlines, overlever, and try to outsmart everyone else. When in reality, the easiest way to come out ahead is to diversify, keep buying, and don't panic when the market drops. So whether this year turns

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

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Graham StephanMarket crashwill not happen

“Worst-case scenario is that investors get pushed to a point where it all unravels at once. But, given how Washington is closely monitoring the situation, I tend to believe that's probably not going to happen, and most likely this is going to blow over in a few weeks.”

Aug 3, 2026 · after 90 days

Correct so far · 90 days0.0%

Andrei Jikha call with no clear direction

“So basically what we know is that every single time the yen got stronger really fast, it meant that markets somewhere in the world were starting to break.”

Jul 28, 2026

Not scored

Graham Stephan, relaying Ed Yardeni: a call with no clear direction

“the veteran strategist Ed Yardeni, who's usually one of the most bullish people on the planet, recently raised his probability of a market meltdown to 35% citing the collision of the Iran oil shock with existing trade pressures.”

Jul 27, 2026

Relayed

Coin Bureaua call under review

“the next major crypto collapse is  unlikely to come from a regulator crackdown. It   is going to come from a regulator that looked away  while a politically connected firm built something   it could not actually support.”

Jun 4, 2026

Not scored

Graham StephanMarket crashwill not happen

“To me, the most realistic outcome here is not a sudden market crash that no one sees coming, but instead a slow constriction of the”

May 18, 2026 · after 90 days

Correct so far · 90 days+6.1%

Coin BureauMarket crash— not judged: the rule reads only the US stock market in general

“Or are we watching the slow-motion opening of a 2022 style cascade where the largest concentrated holder of an asset eventually becomes the trigger for the next major leg lower?”

May 9, 2026 · after 1 year

Not verifiable