Joseph Carlson, relaying another source: Market crash will happen (a fall of at least 50%)

Said on Jan 21, 2022, at 4:21 in the video.

What was said
Joseph Carlson

@josephcarlsonshow

“his message which he's doubled down on now is that we're in for an enormous market crash and that the market will go down an additional 50 percent from where it is”
Watch at 4:21Here’s Why The Stock Market Will Fall -50%
PredictionMarket crashwill happen (a fall of at least 50%)
What happened
Relayed

Somebody else's forecast — not scored

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked

Somebody else's forecast — not scored

What was said around it

volatility is normal sell-offs happen this is all temporary hang in there buy the dip keep on investing and we'll get through this soon enough and i think that's good advice i could do that in this video as well but i want to do something different i want to examine a major claim from a major bear his name is jeremy grantham he is basically a bubble predictor he's been doing this his entire career for over 50 years and jeremy's not sharing a message that's positive that this is just a temporary drop and it'll be over soon his message which he's doubled down on now is that we're in for an enormous market crash and that the market will go down an additional 50 percent from where it is today here's his warning about the market in his own words this is what he says we're in for most of the great bubbles the super bubbles go below trend and stayed there for quite a while in the greenspan era that tendency stopped in 2000 yes the nasdaq came down 82 which was fairly brutal amazon came down 92 but the federal reserve raced to the rescue so loudly and strongly that they stopped the decline in the s p a trend line it only declined 50 percent 50 is a hell of a big decline but it was only enough to get

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

See all

Graham StephanMarket crashwill not happen

“Worst-case scenario is that investors get pushed to a point where it all unravels at once. But, given how Washington is closely monitoring the situation, I tend to believe that's probably not going to happen, and most likely this is going to blow over in a few weeks.”

Aug 3, 2026 · after 90 days

Correct so far · 90 days0.0%

Andrei Jikha call with no clear direction

“So basically what we know is that every single time the yen got stronger really fast, it meant that markets somewhere in the world were starting to break.”

Jul 28, 2026

Not scored

Graham Stephan, relaying Ed Yardeni: a call with no clear direction

“the veteran strategist Ed Yardeni, who's usually one of the most bullish people on the planet, recently raised his probability of a market meltdown to 35% citing the collision of the Iran oil shock with existing trade pressures.”

Jul 27, 2026

Relayed

Coin Bureaua call under review

“the next major crypto collapse is  unlikely to come from a regulator crackdown. It   is going to come from a regulator that looked away  while a politically connected firm built something   it could not actually support.”

Jun 4, 2026

Not scored

Graham StephanMarket crashwill not happen

“To me, the most realistic outcome here is not a sudden market crash that no one sees coming, but instead a slow constriction of the”

May 18, 2026 · after 90 days

Correct so far · 90 days+6.1%

Coin BureauMarket crash— not judged: the rule reads only the US stock market in general

“Or are we watching the slow-motion opening of a 2022 style cascade where the largest concentrated holder of an asset eventually becomes the trigger for the next major leg lower?”

May 9, 2026 · after 1 year

Not verifiable