Joseph Carlson: MSFT will outperform

Said on Feb 8, 2023, at 21:37 in the video.

What was said
Joseph Carlson

@josephcarlsonshow

“so if I'm looking at this specific battle I think Microsoft has one now this isn't to say that I'm bearish on Google I think the company has a lot going for them and I do think that they'll put up a very strong defense of their Market share”
Watch at 21:37Microsoft Just Won The Search Wars
PredictionMSFTwill outperformChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years
What happenedafter 1 year
Not verifiable

Not verifiable: comparison not supported. A call that one asset will beat another is not checked yet, and it is not judged as a plain rise or fall.

30 days

Not verifiable

90 days

Not verifiable

180 days

Not verifiable

1 year

Not verifiable

The window it was checked over

MSFTWindow checked
$200$250$300$350$400$450Aug 2022Dec 2022Apr 2023Aug 2023Dec 2023Apr 2024Said on Feb 8, 2023
$200$300$400$500Aug 2022Mar 2023Sep 2023Apr 2024Said on Feb 8, 2023

MSFT closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-REL v4Not verifiable————
90 daysR-REL v4Not verifiable————
180 daysR-REL v4Not verifiable————
1 yearR-REL v4Not verifiable————
3 yearsR-REL v4Not verifiable————
5 yearsR-REL v4Not verifiable————
Why: 30 days

Not verifiable: comparison not supported. A call that one asset will beat another is not checked yet, and it is not judged as a plain rise or fall.

Why: 90 days

Not verifiable: comparison not supported. A call that one asset will beat another is not checked yet, and it is not judged as a plain rise or fall.

Why: 180 days

Not verifiable: comparison not supported. A call that one asset will beat another is not checked yet, and it is not judged as a plain rise or fall.

Why: 1 year

Not verifiable: comparison not supported. A call that one asset will beat another is not checked yet, and it is not judged as a plain rise or fall.

Why: 3 years

Not verifiable: comparison not supported. A call that one asset will beat another is not checked yet, and it is not judged as a plain rise or fall.

Why: 5 years

Not verifiable: comparison not supported. A call that one asset will beat another is not checked yet, and it is not judged as a plain rise or fall.

What was said around it

reactively defensively and Scattered the other is acting offensively taking market share with confidence so again just to revisit the reason that I believe that Microsoft has already won this battle is the positioning of the companies what their implied valuations are where they already have their economics and what they have to gain and lose Google has far more to lose in this situation than they have to gain and Microsoft has far more to gain in this situation than they have to lose so if I'm looking at this specific battle I think Microsoft has one now this isn't to say that I'm bearish on Google I think the company has a lot going for them and I do think that they'll put up a very strong defense of their Market share but it will be interesting to see how this plays out over time I think that Microsoft is in a far less risky position now moving on I have to cover the story from the Wall Street Journal because I think it represents a large portion of the attitude of retail investors what we're competing with and what we're working with the retreat of the amateur investors that's the title of an article that was just released by The Wall Street Journal a couple days ago amateur Trader amerikia

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

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