Coin Bureau: MSFT will fall

Said on Nov 20, 2023, at 15:54 in the video.

What was said
Coin Bureau

@coinbureau

“it's safe to assume that Microsoft will trade lower today”
Watch at 15:54Crypto News: BTC Price, ETH vs. SOL, ETF Delay, OpenAI & MORE!!
PredictionMSFTwill fallChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years
What happenedafter 1 year
Incorrect

Entry price (first close after the video)

$377.44

Nov 20, 2023

Price at close

$417.79

Nov 19, 2024

Total return, dividends included

+11.3%

S&P 500 +31.7%

MSFT closed at $377.44 on Nov 20, 2023. On Nov 19, 2024 it closed at $417.79, a total return of +11.3% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +31.7%. The call was that it would fall.

30 days

Correct

90 days

Incorrect

180 days

Incorrect

1 year

Incorrect

The window it was checked over

MSFTWindow checked
$300$350$400$450$500May 2023Sep 2023Jan 2024May 2024Sep 2024Jan 2025Said on Nov 20, 2023
$300$350$400$450$500May 2023Dec 2023Jun 2024Jan 2025Said on Nov 20, 2023

MSFT closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-DIR v4Correct$377.44Nov 20, 2023$370.62Dec 20, 2023−1.8%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 +3.5%
90 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$377.44Nov 20, 2023$404.06Feb 16, 2024+7.3%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 +10.4%
180 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$377.44Nov 20, 2023$420.21May 17, 2024+11.7%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 +17.4%
1 yearR-DIR v4Incorrect$377.44Nov 20, 2023$417.79Nov 19, 2024+11.3%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 +31.7%
3 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Nov 19, 2026——
5 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Nov 17, 2028——
Why: 30 days

MSFT closed at $377.44 on Nov 20, 2023. On Dec 20, 2023 it closed at $370.62, a total return of −1.8% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +3.5%. The call was that it would fall.

Why: 90 days

MSFT closed at $377.44 on Nov 20, 2023. On Feb 16, 2024 it closed at $404.06, a total return of +7.3% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +10.4%. The call was that it would fall.

Why: 180 days

MSFT closed at $377.44 on Nov 20, 2023. On May 17, 2024 it closed at $420.21, a total return of +11.7% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +17.4%. The call was that it would fall.

Why: 1 year

MSFT closed at $377.44 on Nov 20, 2023. On Nov 19, 2024 it closed at $417.79, a total return of +11.3% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +31.7%. The call was that it would fall.

Why: 3 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Nov 19, 2026.

Why: 5 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Nov 17, 2028.

What was said around it

it would ditch its chat GPT bot on Friday now taken together these facts suggest that Sam likely lied about how open AI was using data in its operations this would make sense given that an ai's power depends on how much data it's trained on this creates a huge incentive to feed it as much data as possible never mind the AI arms race whatever the case it's clear that the open AI drama could do damage to the stock market that's because Microsoft's stock fell by 2% when investors found out that Sam had been fired given the events that have transpired over the weekend it's safe to assume that Microsoft will trade lower today this though ultimately depends on whether open aai manages to restore the status quo before the markets open if they do then it will probably result in a big rally but if they don't it could result in a big crash this is simply because the AI narrative is what's been driving the stock market for most of the Year open AI has been at the center of the AI narrative and Industry any issues with the company could therefore create problems for the entire Niche now in so far as crypto is still correlated to tech stocks whatever happens to open AI over the next week could

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

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