Joseph Carlson: a call with no clear direction

Said on Feb 8, 2023, at 14:40 in the video.

What was said
Joseph Carlson

@josephcarlsonshow

“so when I look at the risk reward here I look at Microsoft as a company that can only benefit in this situation all they can do is grow a market share it's unlikely they're going to lose market share they're 3.4 percent”
Watch at 14:40Microsoft Just Won The Search Wars
Predictiona call with no clear direction
What happened
Not scored

The direction of this call could not be determined with confidence, so it is held out of the score.

The window it was checked over

MSFTWindow checked
$200$250$300$350$400$450Aug 2022Dec 2022Apr 2023Aug 2023Dec 2023Apr 2024Said on Feb 8, 2023
$200$300$400$500Aug 2022Mar 2023Sep 2023Apr 2024Said on Feb 8, 2023

MSFT closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked

The direction of this call could not be determined with confidence, so it is held out of the score.

What was said around it

market share Google has the dominant 92.2 percent almost all of the value of Google's business is reliant on them staying the dominant search engine over half of Google operating profits net income come from the search business they don't come from YouTube they don't come from a cloud they don't come from Android they come from search so the company's core economics are reliant on them keeping this dominant market share then we have Microsoft that's not priced as this being a big part so when I look at the risk reward here I look at Microsoft as a company that can only benefit in this situation all they can do is grow a market share it's unlikely they're going to lose market share they're 3.4 percent and if they do that's not a big deal it's not a huge part of Microsoft's business but they have far more ample opportunity to grow their market share that is a net incremental benefit to Microsoft another high margin aspect of their business that will grow over time with Google already having 92 percent market share it's far more likely that they're going to lose market share over time and if they have any market share stolen from them with Microsoft or any other competitors that is only

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