“the market is predicting that the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates in September and it's pricing in four interest rate cuts”Andrei Jikh, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will fall
Said on Aug 26, 2024, at 13:33 in the video.
The window it was checked over
Federal funds target range, upper limit: Federal Reserve Board via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.
Result at every window
All windows are shown, so none is pickedSomebody else's forecast — not scored
What was said around it
the last year in other words the US economy actually created almost 1 million less jobs than what was first reported and that is the single biggest revision since the year 2009 so now that this news has come out about these weaker jobs which points to a slowing economy this is also another reason why the dollar could be getting weaker and because the economy is getting weaker the Federal Reserve wants to make sure we don't go into a full-blown recession which is one of the reasons why interest rates could be coming down in fact the market is predicting that the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates in September and it's pricing in four interest rate cuts and a lower interest rate attracts less money to be parked into us treasuries and assets which means a weaker dollar but economists also theorize that a weaker dollar could help with employment but it depends on a lot of factors now if you made it this far into the video here's what I personally think if you watched my video last week before the revision was announced I said exactly that in my video this year we're in an election year so all the numbers that I'm seeing reported by the government I tend to think the real numbers
What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.
More on Fed policy rate
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“the market is now pricing in more than a 60% chance that on September 16th, the Federal Reserve raises interest rates by 25 basis points in addition to buying”
Sep 3, 2026
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“they're now expecting interest rates to increase a little bit in 2026 before falling back down again in 2027 and once again in 2028.”
Jun 17, 2026
Andrei JikhFed policy rate— no direction stated
“I think we already know what he's going to do, which is nothing.”
Jun 15, 2026 · after 1 year
Graham StephanFed policy ratewill fall
“Instead, it's quietly going to happen through pressure on the Federal Reserve and lower interest rates to the point where inflation exceeds it, eroding the purchasing power on everyone's money.”
Jun 1, 2026 · after 90 days
Andrei Jikh, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“The stock market thinks that there's going to be a rate increase by January 2027. the odds of a rate increase are above 70% and going up.”
May 26, 2026
Andrei Jikh, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“Because right now, the market is predicting a rate increase by January 2027. In fact, we are over 70% odds that interest rates will go up, which is the opposite of what everyone thought would happen.”
May 26, 2026