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Graham Stephan: House prices — not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

Said on Jun 1, 2017, at 6:39 in the video.

What was said
Graham Stephan

@grahamstephan

“If you're in Los Angeles, I like the areas of Jefferson Park, West Adams, and Mount Washington. Feel free to look into those areas or not, but those are the areas that I think are going to be doing really well over the next 5 to 10 years.”
Watch at 6:39The Top 6 Reasons why I Invest in Real Estate!
PredictionHouse prices— not judged: the rule reads only US national figuresChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years
What happenedafter 1 year
Not verifiable

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names a local market; this rule reads national US figures only.

30 days

Not verifiable

90 days

Not verifiable

180 days

Not verifiable

1 year

Not verifiable

Details and evidenceReport a problem

The window it was checked over

This series is not charted here until its publisher's terms for reusing it are confirmed. Each verdict still cites the figures it was judged on.

S&P Cotality Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index: S&P Dow Jones Indices via FRED

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-MACRO-LEVEL v4Not verifiable————
90 daysR-MACRO-LEVEL v4Not verifiable————
180 daysR-MACRO-LEVEL v4Not verifiable————
1 yearR-MACRO-LEVEL v4Not verifiable————
3 yearsR-MACRO-LEVEL v4Not verifiable————
5 yearsR-MACRO-LEVEL v4Not verifiable————
Why: 30 days

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names a local market; this rule reads national US figures only.

Why: 90 days

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names a local market; this rule reads national US figures only.

Why: 180 days

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names a local market; this rule reads national US figures only.

Why: 1 year

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names a local market; this rule reads national US figures only.

Why: 3 years

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names a local market; this rule reads national US figures only.

Why: 5 years

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names a local market; this rule reads national US figures only.

What was said around it

value. My personal thinking is that most people get outpriced in a certain area and begin slowly moving outwards. So, I like to pick an area within about 5 to 10 minutes of another area that's booming, and usually you could save about 30 to 50% on a property's value just by driving an extra 10 minutes outwards. So, I personally prefer to do that, to pick other areas which haven't yet seen the economic growth that a nearby city has, and those are the cities I'm betting the most on. If you're in Los Angeles, I like the areas of Jefferson Park, West Adams, and Mount Washington. Feel free to look into those areas or not, but those are the areas that I think are going to be doing really well over the next 5 to 10 years. So, catching one of these areas before bigger businesses start moving in and before people start moving in, in my opinion, is crucial to getting the best value. The fifth benefit of owning real estate is all the tax benefits and all the tax deductions. There are so many tax deductions with real estate. You can depreciate the entire property over 27 and 1/2 years. You can use cost segregation to heavily depreciate certain items in the house over a very short amount of time, having

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

Graham StephanHouse priceswill rise

“And that means that home prices in those markets continue going higher.”

Aug 10, 2026 · after 1 year

Pending

Graham Stephana call with no clear direction

“Instead the market is just quietly resetting to a much higher and much more expensive new normal and everyone who's waiting it out to see 2019 prices again is unfortunately probably out of luck”

Jul 22, 2026

Not scored

Graham Stephan, relaying Reuters poll of analysts: House prices — not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

“But, a Reuters poll of analysts expects prices to fall another 4% this year before maybe stabilizing in 2027.”

Jul 15, 2026

Relayed

Graham StephanHouse prices— not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

“the Northeast and Midwest are still hitting record highs, including Hartford, Connecticut, which is up 25% from its 2022 peak. Well, the pandemic boom towns across Texas, Florida, and the Mountain West keep falling.”

Jul 15, 2026 · after 1 year

Not verifiable

Graham Stephan, relaying Reuters poll of analysts: House prices — not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

“a Reuters poll of analysts expects prices to fall another 4% this year before maybe stabilizing in 2027.”

Jul 15, 2026

Relayed

Graham Stephan, relaying Reuters poll of analysts: House prices — not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

“But, a Reuters poll of analysts expects prices to fall another 4% this year before maybe stabilizing in 2027.”

Jul 15, 2026

Relayed