Coin Bureau: Market crash — not judged: the rule reads only the US stock market in general

Said on Nov 4, 2022, at 21:52 in the video.

What was said
Coin Bureau

@coinbureau

“outside of the USA as winter approaches this volatility will only increase due to energy shortages and other uncertainties around the world”
Watch at 21:52Report: Institutions Want Crypto!? You Won't Believe This!!
PredictionMarket crash— not judged: the rule reads only the US stock market in generalChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years
What happenedafter 1 year
Not verifiable

Not verifiable: subject not covered. Reviewed: the call is about an economy or market outside the United States, which this rule does not measure.

30 days

Not verifiable

90 days

Not verifiable

180 days

Not verifiable

1 year

Not verifiable

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-CRASH v4Not verifiable————
90 daysR-CRASH v4Not verifiable————
180 daysR-CRASH v4Not verifiable————
1 yearR-CRASH v4Not verifiable————
3 yearsR-CRASH v4Not verifiable————
5 yearsR-CRASH v4Not verifiable————
Why: 30 days

Not verifiable: subject not covered. Reviewed: the call is about an economy or market outside the United States, which this rule does not measure.

Why: 90 days

Not verifiable: subject not covered. Reviewed: the call is about an economy or market outside the United States, which this rule does not measure.

Why: 180 days

Not verifiable: subject not covered. Reviewed: the call is about an economy or market outside the United States, which this rule does not measure.

Why: 1 year

Not verifiable: subject not covered. Reviewed: the call is about an economy or market outside the United States, which this rule does not measure.

Why: 3 years

Not verifiable: subject not covered. Reviewed: the call is about an economy or market outside the United States, which this rule does not measure.

Why: 5 years

Not verifiable: subject not covered. Reviewed: the call is about an economy or market outside the United States, which this rule does not measure.

What was said around it

allocating to cryptocurrency it looks like there's a lot of money to be made from finding ways of valuing specific crypto projects and even just explaining how they work to institutions and their clients the only wild card in this equation is all the insanity we've seen so far in the second half of this year Q3 earnings are starting to come in and it's clear that the stock market is in trouble the housing market has been crashing too more about that in the description and even markets for government debt are starting to wobble outside of the USA as winter approaches this volatility will only increase due to energy shortages and other uncertainties around the world I don't imagine institutional investors will be nearly as bullish about crypto if countries put a pause on Bitcoin mining as the EU recently said it would in response to an energy crisis interest rates are rising too and this is starting to make government debt a more appealing asset to hold while bonds haven't been the safe haven they've historically been some macro analysts believe that they will decouple from the stock market if and when the global economy enters a deep recession at that point we will probably see lots of

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

See all

Graham StephanMarket crashwill not happen

“Worst-case scenario is that investors get pushed to a point where it all unravels at once. But, given how Washington is closely monitoring the situation, I tend to believe that's probably not going to happen, and most likely this is going to blow over in a few weeks.”

Aug 3, 2026 · after 90 days

Correct so far · 90 days0.0%

Andrei Jikha call with no clear direction

“So basically what we know is that every single time the yen got stronger really fast, it meant that markets somewhere in the world were starting to break.”

Jul 28, 2026

Not scored

Graham Stephan, relaying Ed Yardeni: a call with no clear direction

“the veteran strategist Ed Yardeni, who's usually one of the most bullish people on the planet, recently raised his probability of a market meltdown to 35% citing the collision of the Iran oil shock with existing trade pressures.”

Jul 27, 2026

Relayed

Coin Bureaua call under review

“the next major crypto collapse is  unlikely to come from a regulator crackdown. It   is going to come from a regulator that looked away  while a politically connected firm built something   it could not actually support.”

Jun 4, 2026

Not scored

Graham StephanMarket crashwill not happen

“To me, the most realistic outcome here is not a sudden market crash that no one sees coming, but instead a slow constriction of the”

May 18, 2026 · after 90 days

Correct so far · 90 days+6.1%

Coin BureauMarket crash— not judged: the rule reads only the US stock market in general

“Or are we watching the slow-motion opening of a 2022 style cascade where the largest concentrated holder of an asset eventually becomes the trigger for the next major leg lower?”

May 9, 2026 · after 1 year

Not verifiable