Graham Stephan, dẫn lời Ed Yardeni: một nhận định không rõ hướng

Được nói ngày 27/07/2026, tại 12:54 trong video.

Lời nói
Graham Stephan

@grahamstephan

“the veteran strategist Ed Yardeni, who's usually one of the most bullish people on the planet, recently raised his probability of a market meltdown to 35% citing the collision of the Iran oil shock with existing trade pressures.”
Xem tại 12:54The AI Bubble Just Collapsed — A Warning For America
Dự đoánmột nhận định không rõ hướng
Kiểm chứng
Dẫn lời

Dẫn theo Ed Yardeni — không chấm

Kết quả ở từng khung thời gian

Hiển thị đủ mọi khung, không chọn khung có lợi

Dẫn theo Ed Yardeni — không chấm

Ngữ cảnh xung quanh

everything goes correctly, that there are no bumps along the way. But earlier this year, that very same Goldman Sachs published a scenario where an oil shock from the Iran conflict drags the S&P 500 down to 5400. And surprisingly, the spread between their bull case and bear case was the widest range they've published since 2020, which is just a fancy way of saying that the range of outcomes right now is enormous. Separate from that, Barclays has mapped out a bear case near 5900, and the veteran strategist Ed Yardeni, who's usually one of the most bullish people on the planet, recently raised his probability of a market meltdown to 35% citing the collision of the Iran oil shock with existing trade pressures. That's why when you actually begin to stress test the bull case, holes start to appear with the first being, number one, really high earnings expectations. Remember, the bull case depends on 24% earnings growth actually happening. Everything is priced to near perfection. It assumes that we're going to see sustained double-digit revenue growth, continued margin expansion, successful AI monetization, no recession, and no spike in interest rates. But, here's the math that nobody wants

Lời của người nói được giữ nguyên văn và không bao giờ được dịch. Đường dẫn mở đúng giây đó trong video.

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Graham StephanThị trường sụp đổsẽ không xảy ra

“Worst-case scenario is that investors get pushed to a point where it all unravels at once. But, given how Washington is closely monitoring the situation, I tend to believe that's probably not going to happen, and most likely this is going to blow over in a few weeks.”

03/08/2026 · sau 30 ngày

Đúng tới lúc này · 30 ngày+1.0%

Andrei Jikhmột nhận định không rõ hướng

“So basically what we know is that every single time the yen got stronger really fast, it meant that markets somewhere in the world were starting to break.”

28/07/2026

Không chấm

Coin Bureaumột nhận định đang được xem xét lại

“the next major crypto collapse is  unlikely to come from a regulator crackdown. It   is going to come from a regulator that looked away  while a politically connected firm built something   it could not actually support.”

04/06/2026

Không chấm

Graham StephanThị trường sụp đổsẽ không xảy ra

“To me, the most realistic outcome here is not a sudden market crash that no one sees coming, but instead a slow constriction of the”

18/05/2026 · sau 90 ngày

Đúng tới lúc này · 90 ngày+6.1%

Coin BureauThị trường sụp đổ— không chấm: quy tắc chỉ đọc thị trường chứng khoán Mỹ nói chung

“Or are we watching the slow-motion opening of a 2022 style cascade where the largest concentrated holder of an asset eventually becomes the trigger for the next major leg lower?”

09/05/2026 · sau 1 năm

Không kiểm chứng được

Coin BureauThị trường sụp đổ— không chấm: quy tắc chỉ đọc thị trường chứng khoán Mỹ nói chung

“there is an $874 million cluster of leveraged long liquidations sitting just below the current price.”

09/05/2026 · sau 1 năm

Không kiểm chứng được