Graham Stephan: Interest rates will rise

The window it was checked over

Federal funds target range, upper limit: Federal Reserve Board via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.

What was said around it

to get the return because their profit is eaten away by a higher interest rate the way I see it is that nobody is going to be stupid enough to raise interest rates to a level that's going to collapse the real estate market or really make a huge long-term impact really quickly realistically it's not gonna happen they're not idiots they're not gonna do that to themselves that would basically just be like them shooting himself in the head by raising interest rates a stupid amount what's realistically going to happen is that interest rates are slowly going to rise over the next maybe five to eight years and I see them eventually ending up somewhere on like six six and a half percent right now we're about four percent I see them eventually ending up maybe two two and a half percent higher than we are right now over the next five six seven eight years long-term it's not going to make a huge difference but it is slow enough that I think again we're not gonna see these huge price increases that we had been seeing over the last seven years that is completely unsustainable and that is not a healthy market so by doing this we're gonna see a combination like I said of increased inventory and higher

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