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Coin Bureau: Market crash — not judged: the rule reads only the US stock market in general

Said on Jul 25, 2023, at 12:08 in the video.

What was said
Coin Bureau

@coinbureau

“it's more than likely that the US government sale of 250 million dollars worth of BTC on coinbase back in March contributed to btc's flash crash at the time”
Watch at 12:08CRYPTO CRASH Coming?! Will US Government Sell Its BTC??
PredictionMarket crash— not judged: the rule reads only the US stock market in generalChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years
What happenedafter 1 year
Not verifiable

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names a subject other than the US stock market as a whole; this rule reads SPY only.

30 days

Not verifiable

90 days

Not verifiable

180 days

Not verifiable

1 year

Not verifiable

Details and evidenceReport a problem

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-CRASH v4Not verifiable————
90 daysR-CRASH v4Not verifiable————
180 daysR-CRASH v4Not verifiable————
1 yearR-CRASH v4Not verifiable————
3 yearsR-CRASH v4Not verifiable————
5 yearsR-CRASH v4Not verifiable————
Why: 30 days

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names a subject other than the US stock market as a whole; this rule reads SPY only.

Why: 90 days

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names a subject other than the US stock market as a whole; this rule reads SPY only.

Why: 180 days

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names a subject other than the US stock market as a whole; this rule reads SPY only.

Why: 1 year

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names a subject other than the US stock market as a whole; this rule reads SPY only.

Why: 3 years

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names a subject other than the US stock market as a whole; this rule reads SPY only.

Why: 5 years

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names a subject other than the US stock market as a whole; this rule reads SPY only.

What was said around it

low during bear markets Market depth has been particularly low recently due to an exit of major market makers and record low levels of BTC Supply on exchanges this means that it's easy to push btc's price up or down and this volatility is being Amplified by all the leverage on offshore exchanges liquidations are big Market Movers at the time of shooting this it only takes 10 to 20 million dollars of cell pressure to push btc's price down by two percent on most major exchanges not counting liquidations this means that it's more than likely that the US government sale of 250 million dollars worth of BTC on coinbase back in March contributed to btc's flash crash at the time to be fair it's more than likely that the banking crisis was the primary cause especially since it caused the usdc stablecoin to dpeg which caused chaos among altcoins and D5 the U.S government's BTC sales coincidentally took place at the exact same time that the banking crisis was occurring it's also more than likely that the US government's BTC sales from earlier this month were done OTC if in fact they occurred at all besides the absence of on-chain evidence that this 10K BTC went to exchanges there's also been huge

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

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Graham StephanMarket crashwill not happen

“Worst-case scenario is that investors get pushed to a point where it all unravels at once. But, given how Washington is closely monitoring the situation, I tend to believe that's probably not going to happen, and most likely this is going to blow over in a few weeks.”

Aug 3, 2026 · after 90 days

Correct so far · 90 days0.0%

Andrei Jikha call with no clear direction

“So basically what we know is that every single time the yen got stronger really fast, it meant that markets somewhere in the world were starting to break.”

Jul 28, 2026

Not scored

Graham Stephan, relaying Ed Yardeni: a call with no clear direction

“the veteran strategist Ed Yardeni, who's usually one of the most bullish people on the planet, recently raised his probability of a market meltdown to 35% citing the collision of the Iran oil shock with existing trade pressures.”

Jul 27, 2026

Relayed

Coin Bureaua call under review

“the next major crypto collapse is  unlikely to come from a regulator crackdown. It   is going to come from a regulator that looked away  while a politically connected firm built something   it could not actually support.”

Jun 4, 2026

Not scored

Graham StephanMarket crashwill not happen

“To me, the most realistic outcome here is not a sudden market crash that no one sees coming, but instead a slow constriction of the”

May 18, 2026 · after 90 days

Correct so far · 90 days+6.1%

Coin BureauMarket crash— not judged: the rule reads only the US stock market in general

“Or are we watching the slow-motion opening of a 2022 style cascade where the largest concentrated holder of an asset eventually becomes the trigger for the next major leg lower?”

May 9, 2026 · after 1 year

Not verifiable