Coin Bureau: Market crash will happen

Said on Mar 11, 2024, at 13:52 in the video.

What was said
Coin Bureau

@coinbureau

“it does give the impression that they know something the rest of us don't and that a market crash could be coming”
Watch at 13:52Crypto News: All Time High, BTC, ETH, NVIDIA, Memecoins & MORE!!
PredictionMarket crashwill happenChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years
What happenedafter 1 year
Incorrect

Entry price (first close after the video)

$511.28

Mar 11, 2024

Total return, dividends included

+10.1%

SPY closed at $511.28 on Mar 11, 2024. Between then and Mar 11, 2025, its deepest fall from a running peak was −9.3%, on Mar 11, 2025. A fall of at least 20.0% counts as a crash, and at least 10.0% as partial. The call was that a crash would come.

30 days

Incorrect

90 days

Incorrect

180 days

Incorrect

1 year

Incorrect

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-CRASH v4Incorrect$511.28Mar 11, 2024—Apr 10, 2024+0.9%Total return, dividends included—
90 daysR-CRASH v4Incorrect$511.28Mar 11, 2024—Jun 7, 2024+4.8%Total return, dividends included—
180 daysR-CRASH v4Incorrect$511.28Mar 11, 2024—Sep 6, 2024+6.4%Total return, dividends included—
1 yearR-CRASH v4Incorrect$511.28Mar 11, 2024—Mar 11, 2025+10.1%Total return, dividends included—
3 yearsR-CRASH v4Pending——Mar 11, 2027——
5 yearsR-CRASH v4Pending——Mar 9, 2029——
Why: 30 days

SPY closed at $511.28 on Mar 11, 2024. Between then and Apr 10, 2024, its deepest fall from a running peak was −1.9%, on Apr 4, 2024. A fall of at least 20.0% counts as a crash, and at least 10.0% as partial. The call was that a crash would come.

Why: 90 days

SPY closed at $511.28 on Mar 11, 2024. Between then and Jun 7, 2024, its deepest fall from a running peak was −5.4%, on Apr 19, 2024. A fall of at least 20.0% counts as a crash, and at least 10.0% as partial. The call was that a crash would come.

Why: 180 days

SPY closed at $511.28 on Mar 11, 2024. Between then and Sep 6, 2024, its deepest fall from a running peak was −8.4%, on Aug 5, 2024. A fall of at least 20.0% counts as a crash, and at least 10.0% as partial. The call was that a crash would come.

Why: 1 year

SPY closed at $511.28 on Mar 11, 2024. Between then and Mar 11, 2025, its deepest fall from a running peak was −9.3%, on Mar 11, 2025. A fall of at least 20.0% counts as a crash, and at least 10.0% as partial. The call was that a crash would come.

Why: 3 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Mar 11, 2027.

Why: 5 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Mar 9, 2029.

What was said around it

$1,000 it's likely that some large investors decided to take profits just before those levels causing a crypto style leverage long Cascade if you don't understand why this is so significant that's because Nvidia is one of the handful of stocks that have been driving stock indices higher these so-called magnificent 7 stocks had recently started to Splinter with fewer and fewer continuing to perform well Nvidia is one of the last ones now when you combine this with the fact that billionaires have been selling billions of dollars worth of stocks it does give the impression that they know something the rest of us don't and that a market crash could be coming and you can learn more about that by watching yesterday's video about it the link will be in the description but back to Nvidia stock now you can clearly see that it is extremely overbought a retracement to its closest zone of support would bring it down by almost 40% this could have an outsized impact on the rest of the stock market given that Nvidia is currently the third largest stock by market cap the Cav though is something we've mentioned in our recent weekly crypto reviews and that's that most of the flows into stock market indices

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

See all

Graham StephanMarket crashwill not happen

“Worst-case scenario is that investors get pushed to a point where it all unravels at once. But, given how Washington is closely monitoring the situation, I tend to believe that's probably not going to happen, and most likely this is going to blow over in a few weeks.”

Aug 3, 2026 · after 90 days

Correct so far · 90 days0.0%

Andrei Jikha call with no clear direction

“So basically what we know is that every single time the yen got stronger really fast, it meant that markets somewhere in the world were starting to break.”

Jul 28, 2026

Not scored

Graham Stephan, relaying Ed Yardeni: a call with no clear direction

“the veteran strategist Ed Yardeni, who's usually one of the most bullish people on the planet, recently raised his probability of a market meltdown to 35% citing the collision of the Iran oil shock with existing trade pressures.”

Jul 27, 2026

Relayed

Coin Bureaua call under review

“the next major crypto collapse is  unlikely to come from a regulator crackdown. It   is going to come from a regulator that looked away  while a politically connected firm built something   it could not actually support.”

Jun 4, 2026

Not scored

Graham StephanMarket crashwill not happen

“To me, the most realistic outcome here is not a sudden market crash that no one sees coming, but instead a slow constriction of the”

May 18, 2026 · after 90 days

Correct so far · 90 days+6.1%

Coin BureauMarket crash— not judged: the rule reads only the US stock market in general

“Or are we watching the slow-motion opening of a 2022 style cascade where the largest concentrated holder of an asset eventually becomes the trigger for the next major leg lower?”

May 9, 2026 · after 1 year

Not verifiable