Said on Oct 10, 2025, at 11:34 in the video.
“a catastrophic 2017 style 80% crash seems to be a low probability event.”How this call was recorded (its subject, its direction or a figure) is being checked again, because the words may not say what was first recorded. It is not scored until a person has reviewed it.
How this call was recorded (its subject, its direction or a figure) is being checked again, because the words may not say what was first recorded. It is not scored until a person has reviewed it.
a much deeper correction than fundamentals would suggest. And finally, there are always geopolitical risks. We recently saw how tensions in the Middle East caused a short-term dip as investors fled to traditional safe havens like gold. While Bitcoin has proven resilient, an escalating global conflict could certainly introduce extreme volatility. Happily, the situation in the Middle East has improved dramatically in recent days, but the region and much of the wider world remain troubled. So, how likely are these risks to materialize? Well, a catastrophic 2017 style 80% crash seems to be a low probability event. Uh, the sheer scale of institutional inflows from ETFs provides a significant buffer and a base of demand that simply didn't exist in previous cycles. A moderate correction of 15 to 25% however is a much higher probability scenario given the extreme leverage in the system a flush out of this magnitude could easily be triggered by some negative macro news or a geopolitical headline. This is something that traders should be prepared for. The most likely scenario in our view is a continued volatile uptrend through the end of the year and into early
What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.
Graham StephanMarket crashwill not happen
“Worst-case scenario is that investors get pushed to a point where it all unravels at once. But, given how Washington is closely monitoring the situation, I tend to believe that's probably not going to happen, and most likely this is going to blow over in a few weeks.”
Aug 3, 2026 · after 90 days
Andrei Jikha call with no clear direction
“So basically what we know is that every single time the yen got stronger really fast, it meant that markets somewhere in the world were starting to break.”
Jul 28, 2026
Graham Stephan, relaying Ed Yardeni: a call with no clear direction
“the veteran strategist Ed Yardeni, who's usually one of the most bullish people on the planet, recently raised his probability of a market meltdown to 35% citing the collision of the Iran oil shock with existing trade pressures.”
Jul 27, 2026
Coin Bureaua call under review
“the next major crypto collapse is unlikely to come from a regulator crackdown. It is going to come from a regulator that looked away while a politically connected firm built something it could not actually support.”
Jun 4, 2026
Graham StephanMarket crashwill not happen
“To me, the most realistic outcome here is not a sudden market crash that no one sees coming, but instead a slow constriction of the”
May 18, 2026 · after 90 days
Coin BureauMarket crash— not judged: the rule reads only the US stock market in general
“Or are we watching the slow-motion opening of a 2022 style cascade where the largest concentrated holder of an asset eventually becomes the trigger for the next major leg lower?”
May 9, 2026 · after 1 year
