“this presumably implies that they believe interest rates will rise even higher than they already are this is an outcome that the authors also foresee due to housing driven inflation”Coin Bureau, relaying another source: Interest rates will rise
Said on Oct 17, 2023, at 8:33 in the video.
The window it was checked over
Federal funds target range, upper limit: Federal Reserve Board via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.
Result at every window
All windows are shown, so none is pickedSomebody else's forecast — not scored
What was said around it
chairman Jerome Powell appears to be very concerned about a recession this could change the fed's interest rate plans that said the authors then highlight the fact that consumers apparently do not plan on reducing their consumption despite the declining confidence they're also not planning on buying houses anytime soon this makes sense considering that mortgage rates are at multi-decade highs what's fascinating is that many people who recently purchased homes have decided to lock in their current mortgage rates this presumably implies that they believe interest rates will rise even higher than they already are this is an outcome that the authors also foresee due to housing driven inflation if you watched our video about the housing market from last year however you'll know that the thing that drives housing prices is ultimately the demand for short-term and long-term rents depending on the location there could be a decline in both which will inevitably result in lower housing prices moreover housing prices often fall the most during a recession which could still be coming not surprisingly one of the only economic sectors that's continued to Boom over the last few months has been the defense
What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.
More on Interest rates
Graham Stephana call with no clear direction
“in my opinion, the big move to really watch out for is whether or not the 10-year Treasury yield exceeds or hits 5%.”
Sep 3, 2026
Andrei JikhInterest rateswill rise
“That is partially why interest rates are expected to go up here in the US.”
Jul 28, 2026 · after 1 year
Andrei JikhInterest rateswill rise
“Either way, it looks like yields are going to go up.”
Jun 5, 2026 · after 1 year
Graham StephanInterest rates— no direction stated
“the government's just going to print more money while keeping interest rates as low as they possibly can.”
Jun 1, 2026 · after 1 year
Graham Stephan, relaying Congressional Budget Office: Interest rates will rise
“the Congressional Budget Office now projects interest will reach $2.1 trillion a year by 2036,”
Jun 1, 2026
Andrei JikhInterest rateswill rise
“But it is especially bad when the riskfree rate, meaning what you can get today from a government bond is sitting at above 5%. It's probably going higher.”
May 26, 2026 · after 1 year