What was said
“Apparently, the stock market is going to peak in October of 2026. And then shortly after that, we're going to see a 40% decline. Unemployment is going to rise above 10%.”Watch at 0:04The AI Collapse Is MUCH Worse Than You Think
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Market crash will happen (a fall of at least 40%)
Said on Feb 27, 2026, at 0:04 in the video.
Result at every window
All windows are shown, so none is pickedSomebody else's forecast — not scored
What was said around it
What's up you guys? It's Graham here. And if you have any money in the markets whatsoever, you're going to want to hear this. Apparently, the stock market is going to peak in October of 2026. And then shortly after that, we're going to see a 40% decline. Unemployment is going to rise above 10%. Trillions of wealth is going to be wiped out in less than 2 years. And all of those safe mortgages will finally start falling into foreclosure. How? Well, Socionomic Research just revealed what they believe is a realistic warning for our economy over these next few years. And I have to say, it is shocking. Not just because it sounds dramatic, but because the logic is incredibly convincing. That's why we need to talk about exactly what's happening, why some of the smartest people in the world believe that this
What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.
More on Market crash
Graham StephanMarket crashwill not happen
“Worst-case scenario is that investors get pushed to a point where it all unravels at once. But, given how Washington is closely monitoring the situation, I tend to believe that's probably not going to happen, and most likely this is going to blow over in a few weeks.”
Aug 3, 2026 · after 90 days
Correct so far · 90 days0.0%
Andrei Jikha call with no clear direction
“So basically what we know is that every single time the yen got stronger really fast, it meant that markets somewhere in the world were starting to break.”
Jul 28, 2026
Not scored
Graham Stephan, relaying Ed Yardeni: a call with no clear direction
“the veteran strategist Ed Yardeni, who's usually one of the most bullish people on the planet, recently raised his probability of a market meltdown to 35% citing the collision of the Iran oil shock with existing trade pressures.”
Jul 27, 2026
Relayed
Coin Bureaua call under review
“the next major crypto collapse is unlikely to come from a regulator crackdown. It is going to come from a regulator that looked away while a politically connected firm built something it could not actually support.”
Jun 4, 2026
Not scored
Graham StephanMarket crashwill not happen
“To me, the most realistic outcome here is not a sudden market crash that no one sees coming, but instead a slow constriction of the”
May 18, 2026 · after 90 days
Correct so far · 90 days+6.1%
Coin BureauMarket crash— not judged: the rule reads only the US stock market in general
“Or are we watching the slow-motion opening of a 2022 style cascade where the largest concentrated holder of an asset eventually becomes the trigger for the next major leg lower?”
May 9, 2026 · after 1 year
Not verifiable