Coin Bureau: Interest rates — not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

Said on Jan 6, 2025, at 35:31 in the video.

What was said
Coin Bureau

@coinbureau

“the 10year Chinese bond yield just look at that it's it's it's crazy how it's been falling it's near alltime lows um and obviously China at 1.6%”
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PredictionInterest rates— not judged: the rule reads only US national figures
What happened
Not scored

Not scored under the published method.

The window it was checked over

Interest ratesWindow checkedRecession (NBER)
−2%0%2%4%6%202220222023202420252026Said on Jan 6, 2025
−2%0%2%4%6%2022202320242026Said on Jan 6, 2025

Federal funds target range, upper limit: Federal Reserve Board via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked

Not scored under the published method.

What was said around it

what it all means for crypto but we uh we should be talking at the moment about China um that place that Donald Trump is so obsessed with um and sure China China China um yeah things aren't things aren't all that great with the Chinese economy at the moment they aren't and it's not getting as much mainstream attention as it as it is in you know fin twit or you know General uh analysts but one of the biggest canaries potentially in a coal mine you can say is is Canary and the Chinese coine if you want um is the bond yields um the 10year Chinese bond yield just look at that it's it's it's crazy how it's been falling it's near alltime lows um and obviously China at 1.6% um China last year had a lot of the stimulus this fiscal stimulus and and stocks did very well but this bond yield has just continued collapsing the bonds have been completely rallying because and this is a flight to safety people in China are not consuming as much as the government would want them to they're not the loans aren't being issued as much as the government wants them to and banks are just just buying bonds up like lapping it up which is obviously leading to this collapse in yields and um you know some think it

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