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Coin Bureau: a call under review

Said on Feb 17, 2026, at 4:56 in the video.

What was said
Coin Bureau

@coinbureau

“This mass   selling drives down the price. And because the  price is dropping, liquidity dries up. It creates   a feedback loop where the tax itself triggers the  crash it was designed to capture.”
Watch at 4:56Unrealized Gains Tax on Crypto: The New 36% Law Explained (What HODLers Must Know)
Predictiona call under review
What happened
Not scored

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How this call was recorded (its subject, its direction or a figure) is being checked again, because the words may not say what was first recorded. It is not scored until a person has reviewed it.

What was said around it

spiral. Imagine you hold Bitcoin   worth $100,000. You bought it cheap, maybe  at $20,000. Under a 36% unrealized gains tax,   you have an $80,000 gain. And that means you owe  roughly $28,800 in taxes. But uh you haven't sold   a bitcoin. You don't have $20,000 in cash lying  around. So what do you do? You have to sell   some Bitcoin to pay the tax. Now multiply this  across millions of investors. Every tax season,   everyone is forced to sell assets at the same  time to pay taxes on paper profits. This mass   selling drives down the price. And because the  price is dropping, liquidity dries up. It creates   a feedback loop where the tax itself triggers the  crash it was designed to capture. And for crypto,   it gets even worse because of volatility. We  all know crypto has 80% drawdowns. It's part   of the game. But imagine this scenario. It's  the 31st of December, 2027. We are in a massive   bull run. We hope Bitcoin hits $150,000. You are  ecstatic, even despite the fact that you owe tax   on those massive gains on the 31st of December  snapshot. Then January 2028 rolls around. The   market corrects and Bitcoin crashes to $60,000.  You are now holding an asset worth $60,000, but

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Graham StephanMarket crashwill not happen

“Worst-case scenario is that investors get pushed to a point where it all unravels at once. But, given how Washington is closely monitoring the situation, I tend to believe that's probably not going to happen, and most likely this is going to blow over in a few weeks.”

Aug 3, 2026 · after 90 days

Correct so far · 90 days0.0%

Andrei Jikha call with no clear direction

“So basically what we know is that every single time the yen got stronger really fast, it meant that markets somewhere in the world were starting to break.”

Jul 28, 2026

Not scored

Graham Stephan, relaying Ed Yardeni: a call with no clear direction

“the veteran strategist Ed Yardeni, who's usually one of the most bullish people on the planet, recently raised his probability of a market meltdown to 35% citing the collision of the Iran oil shock with existing trade pressures.”

Jul 27, 2026

Relayed

Coin Bureaua call under review

“the next major crypto collapse is  unlikely to come from a regulator crackdown. It   is going to come from a regulator that looked away  while a politically connected firm built something   it could not actually support.”

Jun 4, 2026

Not scored

Graham StephanMarket crashwill not happen

“To me, the most realistic outcome here is not a sudden market crash that no one sees coming, but instead a slow constriction of the”

May 18, 2026 · after 90 days

Correct so far · 90 days+6.1%

Coin BureauMarket crash— not judged: the rule reads only the US stock market in general

“Or are we watching the slow-motion opening of a 2022 style cascade where the largest concentrated holder of an asset eventually becomes the trigger for the next major leg lower?”

May 9, 2026 · after 1 year

Not verifiable