Andrei Jikh, relaying another source: House prices — not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

Said on Sep 9, 2022, at 3:27 in the video.

What was said
Andrei Jikh

@andreijikh

“it's estimated that china's property sales will go down 30 percent before the year ends”
Watch at 3:27China’s Economy Just Got Worse | What Comes Next
PredictionHouse prices— not judged: the rule reads only US national figures
What happened
Relayed

Somebody else's forecast — not scored

The window it was checked over

This series is not charted here until its publisher's terms for reusing it are confirmed. Each verdict still cites the figures it was judged on.

S&P Cotality Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index: S&P Dow Jones Indices via FRED

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked

Somebody else's forecast — not scored

What was said around it

that my thoughts go out to the people of china because they've been through a lot the pain that they're feeling now is pain that will eventually be felt by the rest of the world because even the founder of huawei which is china's largest privately owned company said that this collapse will be felt by the rest of the world globally for the next decade and so far here's the damage over 60 real estate developers are drowning in over 13 billion dollars of bond repayments that are due this year consumer confidence in china is also at a multi-decade low and it's estimated that china's property sales will go down 30 percent before the year ends which is worse than 2008 when they crashed 20 but actually the data shows that the situation is a lot worse than economists first predicted because so far home sales in china are already down 40 and the chinese government knows that it needs to pivot out of real estate and start investing in something else really fast but the problem is that roughly 70 of china's wealth is already tied up in real estate now look i know you've probably seen a ton of these videos about china and the collapse of their economy but the most interesting thing is that no one

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

See all

Graham StephanHouse priceswill rise

“And that means that home prices in those markets continue going higher.”

Aug 10, 2026 · after 1 year

Pending

Graham Stephana call with no clear direction

“Instead the market is just quietly resetting to a much higher and much more expensive new normal and everyone who's waiting it out to see 2019 prices again is unfortunately probably out of luck”

Jul 22, 2026

Not scored

Graham Stephan, relaying Reuters poll of analysts: House prices — not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

“But, a Reuters poll of analysts expects prices to fall another 4% this year before maybe stabilizing in 2027.”

Jul 15, 2026

Relayed

Graham StephanHouse prices— not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

“the Northeast and Midwest are still hitting record highs, including Hartford, Connecticut, which is up 25% from its 2022 peak. Well, the pandemic boom towns across Texas, Florida, and the Mountain West keep falling.”

Jul 15, 2026 · after 1 year

Not verifiable

Graham Stephan, relaying Reuters poll of analysts: House prices — not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

“a Reuters poll of analysts expects prices to fall another 4% this year before maybe stabilizing in 2027.”

Jul 15, 2026

Relayed

Graham Stephan, relaying Reuters poll of analysts: House prices — not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

“But, a Reuters poll of analysts expects prices to fall another 4% this year before maybe stabilizing in 2027.”

Jul 15, 2026

Relayed