Said on Sep 25, 2024, at 17:51 in the video.
“in the longer term the fed's rate Cuts risk reigniting inflation which in turn risks sending interest rates higher”Not verifiable: subject not covered. Reviewed: the call is about a bond, Treasury, mortgage or savings rate that this rule does not measure.
30 days
Not verifiable
90 days
Not verifiable
180 days
Not verifiable
1 year
Not verifiable
Federal funds target range, upper limit: Federal Reserve Board via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.
| Window | Result | At the start | At the end | Change | Benchmark |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 daysR-FED v4 | Not verifiable | — | — | — | — |
| 90 daysR-FED v4 | Not verifiable | — | — | — | — |
| 180 daysR-FED v4 | Not verifiable | — | — | — | — |
| 1 yearR-FED v4 | Not verifiable | — | — | — | — |
| 3 yearsR-FED v4 | Not verifiable | — | — | — | — |
| 5 yearsR-FED v4 | Not verifiable | — | — | — | — |
Not verifiable: subject not covered. Reviewed: the call is about a bond, Treasury, mortgage or savings rate that this rule does not measure.
Not verifiable: subject not covered. Reviewed: the call is about a bond, Treasury, mortgage or savings rate that this rule does not measure.
Not verifiable: subject not covered. Reviewed: the call is about a bond, Treasury, mortgage or savings rate that this rule does not measure.
Not verifiable: subject not covered. Reviewed: the call is about a bond, Treasury, mortgage or savings rate that this rule does not measure.
Not verifiable: subject not covered. Reviewed: the call is about a bond, Treasury, mortgage or savings rate that this rule does not measure.
Not verifiable: subject not covered. Reviewed: the call is about a bond, Treasury, mortgage or savings rate that this rule does not measure.
markets as I hinted in the introduction the answer here is twofold and it depends on the time frame in the short term rate cuts are likely to boost the markets particularly small cap stocks as they the most sensitive to interest rates the same is true for cryptocurrencies particularly altcoins which seem to be highly correlated to small cap stocks this is why crypto has been rallying hard with altcoins leading the way and why it will continue so long as the FED keeps cutting rates but again this bullish scenario only applies to the short term in the longer term the fed's rate Cuts risk reigniting inflation which in turn risks sending interest rates higher it's believed this is the reason why long-term interest rates started Rising after the FED cut short-term rates but as we've learned there's another Factor at play here the fed's steady balance sheet runoff from our perspective it's possible that the biggest contributor to long-term interest rates Rising was the fed's decision to continue selling assets from its balance sheet to put things into perspective the FED holds around $5 trillion in US Government debt and around half of it falls into the long-term bucket by continuing to sell these
What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.
Graham Stephana call with no clear direction
“in my opinion, the big move to really watch out for is whether or not the 10-year Treasury yield exceeds or hits 5%.”
Sep 3, 2026
Andrei JikhInterest rateswill rise
“That is partially why interest rates are expected to go up here in the US.”
Jul 28, 2026 · after 1 year
Andrei JikhInterest rateswill rise
“Either way, it looks like yields are going to go up.”
Jun 5, 2026 · after 1 year
Graham StephanInterest rates— no direction stated
“the government's just going to print more money while keeping interest rates as low as they possibly can.”
Jun 1, 2026 · after 1 year
Graham Stephan, relaying Congressional Budget Office: Interest rates will rise
“the Congressional Budget Office now projects interest will reach $2.1 trillion a year by 2036,”
Jun 1, 2026
Andrei JikhInterest rateswill rise
“But it is especially bad when the riskfree rate, meaning what you can get today from a government bond is sitting at above 5%. It's probably going higher.”
May 26, 2026 · after 1 year
