Andrei Jikh, relaying Vanguard: Fed policy rate will rise

Said on Jan 27, 2023, at 10:05 in the video.

What was said
Andrei Jikh

@andreijikh

“Vanguard says that on February 1st our favorite Papa Jerome pal is going to increase the federal funds rate between 0.25 and 0.5 percent the new Range will fall between 5 and 5.25 percent”
Watch at 10:05Why You Won’t Make Money Investing In 10 Years
PredictionFed policy ratewill rise
What happened
Relayed

Attributed to Vanguard — not scored

The window it was checked over

Fed policy rateWindow checkedRecession (NBER)
−2%0%2%4%6%202020202021202220232024Said on Jan 27, 2023
−2%0%2%4%6%2020202120222024Said on Jan 27, 2023

Federal funds target range, upper limit: Federal Reserve Board via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked

Attributed to Vanguard — not scored

What was said around it

or junk bonds are set to outperform the U.S stock market over the next 10 years doesn't mean it's going to happen 100 for sure but according to Vanguard they believe it will I'll have to do a lot more research about this because I have never invested into junk bonds but they sound really interesting and terrifying at the same time but all of this stuff is 10 years away that's a long time from now what about today here's what they're saying will happen this year as far as the United States is concerned Vanguard says that on February 1st our favorite Papa Jerome pal is going to increase the federal funds rate between 0.25 and 0.5 percent the new Range will fall between 5 and 5.25 percent but Vanguard says the increase won't matter as much as the peak and how long it's going to stay there now according to Vanguard they predict that the FED will Target this specific range for the rest of the year which is hopefully good news for the stock market because we don't want the FED to raise their rates even more Vanguard also believes inflation is going to fall below three percent at the end of 2023 which is good news but it's still a little bit higher than what the FED wants to see they also

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