“Vanguard says that on February 1st our favorite Papa Jerome pal is going to increase the federal funds rate between 0.25 and 0.5 percent the new Range will fall between 5 and 5.25 percent”Andrei Jikh, relaying Vanguard: Fed policy rate will rise
Said on Jan 27, 2023, at 10:05 in the video.
The window it was checked over
Federal funds target range, upper limit: Federal Reserve Board via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.
Result at every window
All windows are shown, so none is pickedAttributed to Vanguard — not scored
What was said around it
or junk bonds are set to outperform the U.S stock market over the next 10 years doesn't mean it's going to happen 100 for sure but according to Vanguard they believe it will I'll have to do a lot more research about this because I have never invested into junk bonds but they sound really interesting and terrifying at the same time but all of this stuff is 10 years away that's a long time from now what about today here's what they're saying will happen this year as far as the United States is concerned Vanguard says that on February 1st our favorite Papa Jerome pal is going to increase the federal funds rate between 0.25 and 0.5 percent the new Range will fall between 5 and 5.25 percent but Vanguard says the increase won't matter as much as the peak and how long it's going to stay there now according to Vanguard they predict that the FED will Target this specific range for the rest of the year which is hopefully good news for the stock market because we don't want the FED to raise their rates even more Vanguard also believes inflation is going to fall below three percent at the end of 2023 which is good news but it's still a little bit higher than what the FED wants to see they also
What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.
More on Fed policy rate
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“the market is now pricing in more than a 60% chance that on September 16th, the Federal Reserve raises interest rates by 25 basis points in addition to buying”
Sep 3, 2026
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“they're now expecting interest rates to increase a little bit in 2026 before falling back down again in 2027 and once again in 2028.”
Jun 17, 2026
Andrei JikhFed policy rate— no direction stated
“I think we already know what he's going to do, which is nothing.”
Jun 15, 2026 · after 1 year
Graham StephanFed policy ratewill fall
“Instead, it's quietly going to happen through pressure on the Federal Reserve and lower interest rates to the point where inflation exceeds it, eroding the purchasing power on everyone's money.”
Jun 1, 2026 · after 90 days
Andrei Jikh, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“The stock market thinks that there's going to be a rate increase by January 2027. the odds of a rate increase are above 70% and going up.”
May 26, 2026
Andrei Jikh, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“Because right now, the market is predicting a rate increase by January 2027. In fact, we are over 70% odds that interest rates will go up, which is the opposite of what everyone thought would happen.”
May 26, 2026