Graham Stephan: Interest rates will rise

Said on Apr 11, 2018, at 10:38 in the video.

What was said
Graham Stephan

@grahamstephan

“even though we all know interest rates are going to be going up at some point there's a huge long term advantage right now of buying and locking in a low interest rate”
Watch at 10:38Are we in a REAL ESTATE BUBBLE?!
PredictionInterest rateswill riseChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years
What happenedafter 1 year
Not verifiable

Not verifiable: subject not covered. Reviewed: the call is about a bond, Treasury, mortgage or savings rate that this rule does not measure.

30 days

Not verifiable

90 days

Not verifiable

180 days

Not verifiable

1 year

Not verifiable

The window it was checked over

Interest ratesWindow checkedRecession (NBER)
0%0.5%1%1.5%2%2.5%3%201520162017201720182019Said on Apr 11, 2018
0%1%2%3%2015201620182019Said on Apr 11, 2018

Federal funds target range, upper limit: Federal Reserve Board via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-FED v4Not verifiable————
90 daysR-FED v4Not verifiable————
180 daysR-FED v4Not verifiable————
1 yearR-FED v4Not verifiable————
3 yearsR-FED v4Not verifiable————
5 yearsR-FED v4Not verifiable————
Why: 30 days

Not verifiable: subject not covered. Reviewed: the call is about a bond, Treasury, mortgage or savings rate that this rule does not measure.

Why: 90 days

Not verifiable: subject not covered. Reviewed: the call is about a bond, Treasury, mortgage or savings rate that this rule does not measure.

Why: 180 days

Not verifiable: subject not covered. Reviewed: the call is about a bond, Treasury, mortgage or savings rate that this rule does not measure.

Why: 1 year

Not verifiable: subject not covered. Reviewed: the call is about a bond, Treasury, mortgage or savings rate that this rule does not measure.

Why: 3 years

Not verifiable: subject not covered. Reviewed: the call is about a bond, Treasury, mortgage or savings rate that this rule does not measure.

Why: 5 years

Not verifiable: subject not covered. Reviewed: the call is about a bond, Treasury, mortgage or savings rate that this rule does not measure.

What was said around it

be foreclosing on their properties so with subprime lending like that out of the way here is what I see now what's interesting here is that first of all we're 14 to 20 percent below our pre recession Peaks adjusted for inflation this leads me to think that we still have some upward room for growth even though we've hit our all-time highs we haven't really when you adjust for inflation that really does end up putting it in perspective now the second thing I see is it interest rates are still at historic lows and even though we all know interest rates are going to be going up at some point there's a huge long term advantage right now of buying and locking in a low interest rate this creates a huge sense of urgency to buy real estate now like we haven't really seen before which should end up bolstering real estate prices even higher now one thing I actually found really interesting and this actually blew my mind I didn't fully grasp this until I started doing a lot of research on this and for a video like this I spent hours putting this video together but it's actually found that interest rates do not have a direct correlation with the price of real estate typically when rates go up the

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

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