Coin Bureau, relaying BNP Paribas: Interest rates — not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

Said on Mar 29, 2025, at 18:59 in the video.

What was said
Coin Bureau

@coinbureau

“this is why  for example B&P parar is expecting the yield on   the 10-year bond in Germany to stabilize in the  range between 2.5% to 3% in the near term”
Watch at 18:59Germany's Bold Move: Trillion-Euro Plan to Save Europe
PredictionInterest rates— not judged: the rule reads only US national figures
What happened
Relayed

Attributed to BNP Paribas — not scored

The window it was checked over

Interest ratesWindow checkedRecession (NBER)
0%1%2%3%4%5%6%202220232023202420252026Said on Mar 29, 2025
0%2%4%6%2022202320252026Said on Mar 29, 2025

Federal funds target range, upper limit: Federal Reserve Board via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked

Attributed to BNP Paribas — not scored

What was said around it

borrowing   costs and this could create a scenario where  debt servicing becomes burdensome a triggering   fiscal tightening and adverse market dynamics  reminiscent of the Eurozone crisis but a rerun   of 2010 appears unlikely however savings rates in  Europe are high and many institutional investors   like Pension funds and insurance companies  have risk management structures that make   them attracted to high quality bonds any spike in  bond yields is likely to be temporary because of   the latent institutional demand and this is why  for example B&P parar is expecting the yield on   the 10-year bond in Germany to stabilize in the  range between 2.5% to 3% in the near term disaster   looks unlikely at the moment but then again we  live in uncertain times very uncertain we'll be   sure to keep you updated if and when bond yields  in Europe start hitting the fan in the meantime   if you're hungry for more macroanalysis check  check out our report on the recession threat in   2025 that's right over here and if you're not  subscribed to the channel yet well you can do   that right over here that's me for now thank you  very much for watching and I'll see you again soon

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